Rennes vs Nantes: match statistics
Rennes vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rennes played against Nantes in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Rennes has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Nantes has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Rennes scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.37. Nantes scores 0.83 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Rennes's games and 47% of Nantes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 43%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rennes has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.13 per game. Rennes takes 14.0 shots per game, while Nantes takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Rennes leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Nantes leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rennes's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (15 goals). For Nantes, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rennes has a clear offensive and control advantage at home: they average 1.73 goals per game, register 5.53 shots on target and have xG 1.84 with 54% possession. Nantes away score only 0.67 goals on average, have 2.8 shots on target and xG 1.00, and the visitors’ shot conversion is 7% versus Rennes’ 11%. In the last 5 matches Rennes scored 10 goals and averages 2.0 points per game, while Nantes scored 3 goals and averages 0.6 pts/game (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Defensively Nantes concedes 1.47 goals away and has a -12 goal difference on the road, whereas Rennes concedes 1.00 at home and has a +11 difference; additionally Nantes fail to score in 53% of away matches versus 20% of Rennes’ home matches without a goal. Considering the higher xG (1.84 vs 1.00), greater number of shots on target (5.53 vs 2.8) and superiority in form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts per game), I predict a Rennes win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate a slight edge for the BTTS scenario: Rennes has a seasonal BTTS rate of 53% versus Nantes' 40%, with the league BTTS average at 49%. Rennes has recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches and averages 2.0 goals (10 goals in 5 matches), while Nantes scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches (0.6 per match), highlighting the visitors' weaker attacking output. Rennes concedes 1.8 goals per match on average this season and has only 13% home clean sheets, so the hosts frequently allow opponents to score; Nantes averages 0.67 goals away, which limits their ability to break through. xG metrics confirm Rennes creates more chances (xG 2.06 in the last 5 matches) than Nantes (xG 1.31), but Nantes has a seasonal xG_for_avg_away of 1.0 and can generate opportunities on the road. Considering Rennes' low clean sheet rate (13%) and Nantes' poor scoring form (0.67 goals away), I pick BTTS - Yes as more likely (65% vs 35%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG comparison yields a combined projection of about 2.68 goals: Rennes has attacking xG 1.27, Nantes concedes away xG 1.66, giving expected xG for Rennes ≈ (1.27+1.66)/2 = 1.47; Nantes has attacking xG 1.00, while Rennes concedes at home xG 1.42, hence expected xG for Nantes ≈ 1.21. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.68 indicates over 1.5 has ~74.8% probability (≈75%), over 2.5 ≈50.1% (≈50%), and over 3.5 ≈28.1% (≈28%). Additionally, Rennes scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game) and had 80% of games over 2.5 in that period, while Nantes scored 3 goals in their last 5 (0.6 per game). Season metrics support goals: Rennes at home has 100% of matches with at least 0.5 goals, Nantes away 80%, and BTTS occurs in 53% of Rennes matches and 40% of Nantes matches. As a result the strongest signal is over 1.5 (side: Over, line: 1.5) — this is the largest edge (~75%) based on xG 1.47 vs 1.21, Rennes’s recent form and the high share of matches with at least one goal for both teams.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rennes has a clear form advantage and dominates in the Half-Time market: in the last 5 matches they have a record 'ldwww' with 3 wins (60%) and led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), scoring on average 1.0 goals by half-time and conceding 0.4. Nantes have not won in the last 5 (0 of 5) and led at the break only in 20% (1 of 5), scoring 0.4 goals by half-time while conceding 0.6. Rennes generates more high-quality chances: xG 1.27 versus Nantes 1.00, averaging 11.73 shots versus 9.4 and 3.33 on target versus 2.8, with conversion rates 9% vs 7%, which increases the hosts’ chance of scoring. Additionally, Rennes averages 1.8 second-half goals in the last 5 matches versus Nantes’ 1.0, and seasonally has 80% of matches with a goal by half-time vs Nantes’ 53%, so the most likely scenario is Rennes leading at half-time and winning Full-Time; therefore I assign 40% to 1/1, with X/1 (18%) and 1/X (12%) as the most probable alternatives, and the remaining options totaling 30% due to Nantes’ poorer form and lower xG.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rennes | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rennes is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Rennes · 0.6 pts / game - Nantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rennes is 108% better for: goals scored per game.
1.73 goals / game - Rennes · 0.83 goals / game - Nantes
Rennes is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.37 goals / game - Rennes · 1.63 goals / game - Nantes
Rennes scores in 80% of games (24 of 30 meczów), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 meczów).
Nantes scores in 57% of games (17 of 30 meczów), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rennes
Over / Under - Nantes
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rennes is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - Rennes · 1.13 pts / game - Nantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rennes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rennes
Nantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Rennes | Liga | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.10 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Rennes's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Nantes. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rennes vs Nantes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Rennes 2:1 Nantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rennes vs Nantes?
Rennes score 1.73 goals per game on average and Nantes 0.83. The Ligue 1 average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Rennes's matches and 47% of Nantes's.
What form are Rennes and Nantes in?
Over the last 5 games Rennes have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nantes 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rennes vs Nantes?
The statistical background for Rennes vs Nantes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.