Rennes vs Toulouse: match statistics
Rennes shows a decisive advantage in home matches, achieving a 55% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per match. The hosts possess a significantly better goal difference at home (+10) and higher xG indicators (1.87 vs 1.44), evidencing the team's offensive power. Toulouse performs averagely on away trips, winning only 36% of meetings with an average of just 1.18 goals per match and a high loss rate (45%). Recent form for both teams is balanced (Rennes: 1.2 PPG, Toulouse: 1.0 PPG); however, the hosts' advantage in home statistics and higher offensive efficiency speak in their favor. Nevertheless, Toulouse keeps 27% clean sheets away, which might complicate the task for the hosts, hence the inclusion of a draw possibility at the 25% level.
Rennes vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rennes played against Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Rennes has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Toulouse has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Rennes scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.52. Toulouse scores 1.43 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Rennes's games and 43% of Toulouse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 48%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rennes has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.49 per game. Rennes takes 13.2 shots per game, while Toulouse takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Rennes leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Toulouse leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rennes's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). For Toulouse, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rennes shows a decisive advantage in home matches, achieving a 55% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per match. The hosts possess a significantly better goal difference at home (+10) and higher xG indicators (1.87 vs 1.44), evidencing the team's offensive power. Toulouse performs averagely on away trips, winning only 36% of meetings with an average of just 1.18 goals per match and a high loss rate (45%). Recent form for both teams is balanced (Rennes: 1.2 PPG, Toulouse: 1.0 PPG); however, the hosts' advantage in home statistics and higher offensive efficiency speak in their favor. Nevertheless, Toulouse keeps 27% clean sheets away, which might complicate the task for the hosts, hence the inclusion of a draw possibility at the 25% level.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rennes | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rennes is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Rennes · 1 pts / game - Toulouse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rennes is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.61 goals / game - Rennes · 1.43 goals / game - Toulouse
Toulouse is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.52 goals / game - Rennes · 1.17 goals / game - Toulouse
Rennes scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
Toulouse scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rennes
Over / Under - Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rennes is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Rennes · 1.17 pts / game - Toulouse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rennes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rennes
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Rennes | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.13 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Rennes's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Toulouse. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rennes vs Toulouse?
The Ligue 1 match finished Rennes 1:0 Toulouse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rennes vs Toulouse?
Rennes score 1.61 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.43. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Rennes's matches and 43% of Toulouse's.
What form are Rennes and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Rennes have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Toulouse 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rennes vs Toulouse?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rennes vs Toulouse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.