Rennes vs Toulouse: match statistics
Rennes shows a decisive advantage in home matches, achieving a 55% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per match. The hosts possess a significantly better goal difference at home (+10) and higher xG indicators (1.87 vs 1.44), evidencing the team's offensive power. Toulouse performs averagely on away trips, winning only 36% of meetings with an average of just 1.18 goals per match and a high loss rate (45%). Recent form for both teams is balanced (Rennes: 1.2 PPG, Toulouse: 1.0 PPG); however, the hosts' advantage in home statistics and higher offensive efficiency speak in their favor. Nevertheless, Toulouse keeps 27% clean sheets away, which might complicate the task for the hosts, hence the inclusion of a draw possibility at the 25% level.
Rennes vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rennes play Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Rennes: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Toulouse: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rennes scores 1.74 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Toulouse scores 1.42 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rennes 59%, Toulouse 48%. Over 2.5: Rennes 71%, Toulouse 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Rennes has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.41. Rennes: 14.2 shots per match, Toulouse: 12.8.
Match halves
Rennes: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.94. Toulouse: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Rennes: 16-30 (15 goals). Toulouse: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Rennes shows a decisive advantage in home matches, achieving a 55% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per match. The hosts possess a significantly better goal difference at home (+10) and higher xG indicators (1.87 vs 1.44), evidencing the team's offensive power. Toulouse performs averagely on away trips, winning only 36% of meetings with an average of just 1.18 goals per match and a high loss rate (45%). Recent form for both teams is balanced (Rennes: 1.2 PPG, Toulouse: 1.0 PPG); however, the hosts' advantage in home statistics and higher offensive efficiency speak in their favor. Nevertheless, Toulouse keeps 27% clean sheets away, which might complicate the task for the hosts, hence the inclusion of a draw possibility at the 25% level.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rennes | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rennes is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Rennes · 1.4 pts / match - Toulouse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rennes is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Rennes · 1.42 goals / match - Toulouse
Toulouse is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Rennes · 1.39 goals / match - Toulouse
Rennes scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Toulouse scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rennes
Over / Under — Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rennes is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Rennes · 1.15 pts / match - Toulouse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rennes
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Rennes | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.83 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rennes 0 - 1 - 0 Toulouse. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rennes vs Toulouse?
The Ligue 1 match finished Rennes 1:0 Toulouse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rennes vs Toulouse?
Rennes score 1.74 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.42. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Rennes's matches and 48% of Toulouse's.
What form are Rennes and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Rennes have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Toulouse 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rennes vs Toulouse?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rennes vs Toulouse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.