Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fujieda MYFC: match statistics

Fujieda MYFC are showing significantly better current form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring 2.2 goals per game over that run. Renofa Yamaguchi, by contrast, have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 4 goals and conceding 8—an average of 1.6 per game. The visitors also have a clearly superior goal difference across this sequence, at +6 compared with the hosts’ -4. The absence of draws in both teams’ last five outings suggests that the direct difference in quality and finishing efficiency will be decisive, favouring Fujieda. The visitors’ advantage in form and attacking output makes a Fujieda victory the most likely outcome.

Seasonal data for this competition is unavailable, so the last 5 matches carry the greatest weight. Renofa Yamaguchi scored only 0.8 goals per match during this period and lost 4 of their 5 outings, despite recording an average xG of 1.33. Fujieda MYFC are in significantly better offensive form, scoring 2.2 goals per game, while conceding just 1.0 goal per match, which could limit the hosts. BTTS - Yes occurred in 60% of Renofa’s recent matches, but in only 40% of Fujieda’s games, and the difference in attacking efficiency between the two sides points towards the possibility of the hosts failing to score. The most likely scenario is therefore BTTS - No, meaning a match in which at least one team does not score.

Full-season data for these teams is not available, so the greatest weight is placed on their results from the last five matches. Fujieda averaged 2.2 goals per game during this period, scoring 11 goals in total, while Renofa conceded an average of 1.6 goals, or 8 across five appearances. Renofa has a weaker attacking record, scoring just 0.8 goals per game, but its average xG stands at 1.33, compared with Fujieda’s average of 1.18 xG conceded, giving the hosts a realistic chance of finding the net. In Renofa’s matches, the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 3 of 5 cases, while Fujieda’s profile suggests at least two goals in the game thanks to its highly effective attack. The safest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.65 goals and the visitors’ attacking advantage over the hosts’ defense clearly support at least two goals.

Fujieda MYFC have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Renofa Yamaguchi have suffered 4 defeats and scored just 0.8 goals per game. The visitors have taken the lead at the break more often, doing so in 40% of these matches compared with 20% for the hosts, while Renofa were trailing at half-time in as many as 60% of cases. In the first halves, Fujieda averaged 1.0 goals compared with Renofa’s 0.4, and their goal difference stood at +1 versus -3 for the hosts. The visitors’ advantage remains clear after the interval: they score an average of 1.2 goals and concede 0.2, while Renofa record 0.4 and 0.6 respectively. The strongest scenario is therefore Fujieda leading at half-time and holding on to that advantage until the end of the match.