Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils: match statistics
Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rēzekne / BJSS played against JFK Ventspils in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on July 4, 2026. Venue: OC Rēzekne Mākslīgais Laukums. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Rēzekne / BJSS has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. JFK Ventspils has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Rēzekne / BJSS scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 3.18. JFK Ventspils scores 1.10 and allows 1.90. Games in this league average 3.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Rēzekne / BJSS's games and 60% of JFK Ventspils's. The Over 2.5 rates are 82% and 60%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 68% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
JFK Ventspils has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 0.70 per game. Rēzekne / BJSS takes 2.6 shots per game, while JFK Ventspils takes 6.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Rēzekne / BJSS leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. JFK Ventspils leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rēzekne / BJSS's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For JFK Ventspils, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.49 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 68% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
JFK Ventspils holds a clear advantage in chance creation and current form: in the last 5 matches they scored 7 goals and average 1.2 points per game, while Rēzekne/BJSS scored 6 goals and average 0.6 points per game. The visitors average 11.33 shots per match, about 6 of which are on target, and have an average xG of 1.73, whereas the hosts attempt only 5 shots (3.67 on target) and have an xG of 0.9, indicating a significant Ventspils edge in chance quality. The home defense is particularly prone to conceding — Rēzekne concedes 3.17 goals at home on average (35 conceded this season) versus 2.6 conceded by Ventspils away (19 conceded this season); neither team has kept a clean sheet (0%). Additionally, Ventspils have not had a single away game without scoring (0% such matches), while the hosts failed to score in 17% of their home matches, giving the visitors a real offensive advantage. Despite the hosts’ higher shot conversion rate (27% vs 18%), their low volume of attempts limits their potential, so I predict a Ventspils win ('2') with probability 60%, draw 25% and home win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal comes from the visitors: JFK Ventspils has a seasonal BTTS 100%, scores on average 1.8 goals and concedes 2.6 per match and has not recorded a single clean sheet (CS 0%), which clearly indicates that visitors’ matches regularly see goals from both sides. Hosts Rēzekne/BJSS score only 0.4 goals seasonally and have an 80% ‘did not score’ rate, which seasonally reduces the chance of BTTS, but their last 5 matches show BTTS at 80% with an average of 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded. xG and shot statistics confirm the dynamic: hosts’ xG is 1.14, visitors’ xG 1.73; hosts concede on average 1.29 xG against, visitors 1.64; visitors register 6.0 shots on target per match vs 2.4 for hosts and have a conversion of 18% versus 6%. Given the league average of 3.51 goals per match and that visitors’ matches are 100% over 2.5 goals, the short-term signals (last 5 matches) and the visitors’ seasonal profile combine into a strong argument for both teams to score. I therefore assess BTTS probability at 75% for 'yes' (Goal/Goal) and 25% for 'no' (No Goal), recommending 'yes' as the best play.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for the home side and 1.52 for the away side, totaling 2.76 expected goals. These figures come from combining season values (for the home team (xG_for_home 1.14 + xG_against_away 1.64)/2 = 1.39 and for the away team (xG_for_away 1.73 + xG_against_home 1.29)/2 = 1.51) and the averages from the last 5 matches (for the home team (0.86+1.30)/2 = 1.08 and for the away team (1.45+1.62)/2 = 1.535), whose mean yields 1.24 and 1.52. Shot statistics confirm Ventspils' superiority: the visitors average 11.33 shots and 6.0 on target with an 18% conversion, while the home team averages 6.2 shots, 2.4 on target and a 6% conversion, which increases the likelihood of goals for the away side. Season metrics and current form indicate a propensity for high-scoring games: the visitors have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, the home team has 100% over 2.5 in the last 5 matches, and the league average is 3.51 goals (68% over 2.5). From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.76 the probabilities are approximately 76% for OVER 1.5, 52% for OVER 2.5 and 30% for OVER 3.5, therefore the strongest and safest signal from the data is OVER 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The visitors demonstrate markedly superior offensive efficiency: the hosts average 0.4 goals per match versus 1.8 for the visitors, with xG of 1.14 for the hosts and 1.73 for the visitors. The hosts did not lead at the break in any of their matches (0.0%), whereas the visitors led at the break in 2 of 5 fixtures (40.0%) and the hosts were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5 matches (60.0%), which increases the likelihood of the visitors holding a lead after 45 minutes. Additionally, the visitors average 6.0 shots on target with an 18% conversion rate, while the hosts average 2.4 SOT with a 6% conversion rate; the visitors’ matches also show BTTS 100.0% and an average of 2.8 goals after the break (AVG_2hg_away 2.8), so I expect further scoring in the second half. Based on these figures the most probable and strongest signal is the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rēzekne / BJSS | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 59% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
JFK Ventspils is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Rēzekne / BJSS · 0.8 pts / game - JFK Ventspils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JFK Ventspils is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
0.82 goals / game - Rēzekne / BJSS · 1.1 goals / game - JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
3.18 goals / game - Rēzekne / BJSS · 1.9 goals / game - JFK Ventspils
Rēzekne / BJSS scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 meczów), while JFK Ventspils keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 meczów).
JFK Ventspils scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 meczów), while Rēzekne / BJSS keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rēzekne / BJSS
Over / Under - JFK Ventspils
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
JFK Ventspils is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / game - Rēzekne / BJSS · 0.9 pts / game - JFK Ventspils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rēzekne / BJSS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 9%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
JFK Ventspils - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rēzekne / BJSS
JFK Ventspils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rēzekne / BJSS | Liga | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 3.49 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 61% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 82% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rēzekne / BJSS's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against JFK Ventspils. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils?
The 1. Liga match finished Rēzekne / BJSS 1:1 JFK Ventspils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rēzekne / BJSS and JFK Ventspils?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rēzekne / BJSS won 0, JFK Ventspils won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils?
Rēzekne / BJSS score 0.82 goals per game on average and JFK Ventspils 1.10. The 1. Liga average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Rēzekne / BJSS's matches and 60% of JFK Ventspils's.
What form are Rēzekne / BJSS and JFK Ventspils in?
Over the last 5 games Rēzekne / BJSS have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and JFK Ventspils 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rēzekne / BJSS vs JFK Ventspils: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


