Rheindorf Altach vs Wattens: match statistics

The current-season record is very evenly matched: Rheindorf Altach lost their only game so far 0:1, while Wattens drew 1:1. In their last five matches, Altach scored 6 goals and conceded 7, whereas Wattens were more effective in attack, scoring 10 goals, but also allowed 7 goals. The hosts collected 7 points during this period through 2 wins and a draw, while the visitors earned 5 points from 1 victory and 2 draws, giving neither side a clear advantage. Wattens do occupy 8th place, two positions above Altach, but the similar number of goals conceded and the visitors’ draw in their opening match point to a high likelihood of the points being shared.

The signal in favor of both teams scoring is primarily driven by current form: in their last five matches, Wattens averaged 2.0 goals, while Rheindorf Altach averaged 1.2. Both defenses conceded 1.4 goals per match over this period, which favors both sides converting their chances. This is supported by the xG figures: the hosts created chances worth 1.36 xG, while the visitors recorded 1.51 xG, with 1.30 and 1.44 xG conceded respectively. BTTS occurred in 60% of Wattens’ last five matches and in 40% of Altach’s, so the edge towards “Yes” is slight but genuine. The low league-wide BTTS rate of 33% limits confidence in the prediction; however, both teams’ current attacking efficiency provides marginal support for goals at both ends.

Data from the last five matches points to moderate goalscoring potential: Altach averaged 1.2 goals scored, while Wattens averaged 2.0, with both teams conceding an identical average of 1.4 goals. The xG model from this sample is more conservative, as Altach created chances worth 1.36 xG and Wattens 1.51 xG per match, supporting a forecast of around 2.65 total goals. Only 40% of each team’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, while a total of at least four goals would require a clear deviation from this profile. In addition, the hosts scored and conceded 1.0 goal per match in the available season sample, and their match did not exceed 2.5 goals. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5, as even with Wattens in attacking form, four or more goals remain the less likely scenario.

The strongest signal concerns the first half: Wattens were leading at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while Rheindorf Altach were ahead at that stage in 40% of their games. The visitors averaged 1.2 goals before half-time—twice as many as the hosts’ 0.6—and their first-half goal difference stood at +3, compared with Altach’s 0. After the break, however, the advantage shifts to the hosts: they averaged 0.6 goals and recorded 1.4 points in the second half, while Wattens managed only 0.8 points. The visitors failed to score after half-time in 80% of their last five appearances, increasing the likelihood that Altach will complete a turnaround from a one-goal deficit. At the same time, Wattens drew in as many as 40% of their recent matches, while the hosts won 40% compared with 20% victories for the visitors. Therefore, the most logical scenario is a HT/FT draw: Wattens leading at the break and the match ending level (2/X).