United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of October 17, 2026

Rhode Island vs Louisville City: match statistics

Rhode Island crest
Rhode Island
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Louisville City crest
Louisville City

Rhode Island vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Rhode Island played against Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Rhode Island has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Louisville City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Rhode Island scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.15. Louisville City scores 1.68 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Rhode Island's games and 64% of Louisville City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 55%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Louisville City has the higher season xG average, 1.92 to 1.81 per game. Rhode Island takes 15.7 shots per game, while Louisville City takes 16.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Rhode Island leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.05 goals per game after halftime. Louisville City leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.95 after halftime.

When the teams score

Rhode Island's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Louisville City, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL Championship games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Rhode Island have significantly stronger home metrics: they average 1.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, while Louisville City concede as many as 2.09 goals per away match. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 18 shots and 6 on target with an xG of 1.97, compared with 13.64 shots, 4.82 on target and an xG of 1.71 for the visitors. Rhode Island’s defense looks considerably more stable, as evidenced by an xGA of 0.98 and clean sheets in 40% of their home matches; Louisville keep a clean sheet in only 18% of away games. Both teams have scored 5 goals in their last five matches and averaged 1.2 points per game over that period, so the form advantage is limited. However, home advantage, Rhode Island’s 50% home win rate and Louisville’s 45% away defeat rate all point towards a home victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Louisville City has a very strong seasonal BTTS signal, with BTTS landing in 82% of matches, while the team failed to score in none of its games. The visitors average 2.00 goals scored but concede 2.09, and their low 18% clean-sheet rate significantly increases Rhode Island’s chances of finding the net. The hosts create plenty of chances, posting an xG of 2.13 and averaging 6.0 shots on target, while Louisville’s defense allows an average xG of 1.54. The main argument against this pick is Rhode Island’s weaker recent run, with BTTS landing in only 20% of matches, while both teams have scored and conceded 1.0 goal per game across their last five fixtures. Despite this cautionary factor, the combination of Louisville’s consistently productive attack and the visitors’ vulnerable defense gives a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Over 1.5 goals landed in 73% of Rhode Island’s matches and in as many as 91% of Louisville City’s games, providing strong support for the low line. Louisville City score an average of 2.00 goals per match, while the hosts concede in 73% of their appearances, so the visitors should make a significant contribution to the total. Rhode Island generate an average of 2.13 xG and register 6.00 shots on target per match, while Louisville City allow opponents an average of 2.09 goals and 1.54 xG. Caution around higher lines is warranted by the teams’ last five matches: both have scored and conceded 1.00 goal per game during this period. Despite their weaker recent finishing, the projected total of 2.70 goals clearly supports Over 1.5 as the safest selection.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Rhode Island victory at full-time, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 64% of their matches, compared with 55% for Louisville City. Rhode Island’s tendency toward cautious starts is further supported by their last five games: 80% of them were level at half-time, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored in the first half. After the break, the advantage should shift toward the hosts, who generate an average xG of 2.13, register 18.64 shots and 6 shots on target per match, while Louisville concede an average of 2.09 goals away from home and allow 1.54 xG. In addition, the visitors concede an average of 1.36 goals after half-time, whereas Rhode Island allow their opponents just 0.64 goals in this period, supporting a turnaround in a closely contested match in favor of the hosts.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

60Possession (%)40
Rhode IslandLouisville City
15Shots10
Rhode IslandLouisville City
2Shots on target2
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.44xG1.04
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5Corners2
Rhode IslandLouisville City
48Dangerous attacks36
Rhode IslandLouisville City
4Fouls5
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1Cards4
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.5Goals scored / game1.68
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.15Goals allowed / game1.64
Rhode IslandLouisville City
49%Average possession51%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5.65Shots on target / game5.41
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.7Shots per game16.14
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5.65Shots on target5.41
Rhode IslandLouisville City
9.6%Shot conversion10.4%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
49%Possession51%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.81xG for1.92
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.19xG against1.26
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Shooting quality

Rhode Island: AttackingLouisville City: Attacking
Rhode IslandLouisville City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Rhode Island is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Rhode Island · 1 pts / game - Louisville City

Rhode Island
LWLWL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-8
1.40 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Louisville City
LDWLD
Season result split
41% W23% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-8
1.45 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Louisville City is 12% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Rhode Island · 1.68 goals / game - Louisville City

Rhode Island is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.15 goals / game - Rhode Island · 1.64 goals / game - Louisville City

Rhode Island scoring profile: very strong

Rhode Island scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 games), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 games).

Louisville City scoring profile: very strong

Louisville City scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 games), while Rhode Island keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 games).

30Goals scored (season)37
Rhode IslandLouisville City
23Goals conceded (season)36
Rhode IslandLouisville City
2.65Average goals per game3.32
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5Goals scored (last 5)9
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
Rhode IslandLouisville City

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal82%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
35%2 goals45%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
25%3 goals27%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
15%4 goals14%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal77%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
25%2 goals55%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
10%3 goals18%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5%4 goals9%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time36%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5%BTTS in both halves18%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
25%Scored in both halves36%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
20%BTTS - last 580%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rhode Island is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / game - Rhode Island · 1.14 pts / game - Louisville City

Rhode Island - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing
Louisville City - half-time state
18% leading59% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1.14
Rhode IslandLouisville City
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.73
Rhode IslandLouisville City
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Rhode IslandLouisville City
0.85Average goals (1st half)1.36
Rhode IslandLouisville City
65%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
60%No goal before half-time50%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per game (2nd half)1.41
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)0.95
Rhode IslandLouisville City
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Rhode IslandLouisville City
1.8Average goals (2nd half)1.95
Rhode IslandLouisville City
45%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Rhode IslandLouisville City
40%No goal after half-time32%
Rhode IslandLouisville City

Rhode Island - second-half results

35% W40% D25% L
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Louisville City - second-half results

36% W32% D32% L
25
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding228%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Rhode Island - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Louisville City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.60
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.8
Average goals per game1.22.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Rhode Island
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
7
5
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
6
46-60
9
4
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Louisville City
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
9
5
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
10
46-60
8
5
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Rhode Island

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Louisville City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Rhode IslandLigaLouisville City
Average goals per game• 2.652.73▲ 3.32
Both teams scored• 55%54%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 45%49%▲ 55%
Clean sheets▼ 25%27%▼ 23%
Goal before half-time▼ 55%65%▲ 68%
Goal after half-time• 80%79%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.21
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Louisville CityGoalSean Totsch
  2. Rhode IslandSubstitutionOn: Osman FoyoOff: Karifa Yao
  3. Rhode IslandGoalStas KornzeniowskiAssist: Jojea Kwizera
  4. Louisville CityYellow cardAiden McFadden
  5. Louisville CityYellow cardQuentin Emeric Huerman
  6. Louisville CityYellow cardSean Totsch
  7. Louisville CitySubstitutionOn: Ryan ScheweOff: Daniel Faundez
  8. Louisville CitySubstitutionOn: Chris DonovanOff: Tola Showunmi
  9. Rhode IslandSubstitutionOn: Dwayne AtkinsonOff: Leonardo Afonso
  10. Rhode IslandSubstitutionOn: Aldair SanchezOff: Grant Stoneman
  11. Louisville CityYellow cardEvan Davila
  12. Rhode IslandYellow cardJojea Kwizera

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Rhode Island's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Louisville City. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Louisville City
4 : 2
Rhode Island
Rhode Island FC
0 : 1
Louisville City FC
Louisville City FC
2 : 1
Rhode Island FC
Louisville City
0 : 3
Rhode Island
Louisville City
2 : 5
Rhode Island
Rhode Island
0 : 0
Louisville City

FAQ

What was the result of Rhode Island vs Louisville City?

The USL Championship match finished Rhode Island 1:1 Louisville City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Rhode Island and Louisville City?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Rhode Island won 2, Louisville City won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Rhode Island vs Louisville City?

Rhode Island score 1.50 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.68. The USL Championship average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Rhode Island's matches and 64% of Louisville City's.

What form are Rhode Island and Louisville City in?

Over the last 5 games Rhode Island have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Louisville City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rhode Island vs Louisville City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.