Rhode Island vs Louisville City: match statistics
Rhode Island vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rhode Island played against Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Rhode Island has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Louisville City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Rhode Island scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.15. Louisville City scores 1.68 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Rhode Island's games and 64% of Louisville City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 55%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Louisville City has the higher season xG average, 1.92 to 1.81 per game. Rhode Island takes 15.7 shots per game, while Louisville City takes 16.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Rhode Island leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.05 goals per game after halftime. Louisville City leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.95 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rhode Island's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Louisville City, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rhode Island have significantly stronger home metrics: they average 1.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, while Louisville City concede as many as 2.09 goals per away match. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 18 shots and 6 on target with an xG of 1.97, compared with 13.64 shots, 4.82 on target and an xG of 1.71 for the visitors. Rhode Island’s defense looks considerably more stable, as evidenced by an xGA of 0.98 and clean sheets in 40% of their home matches; Louisville keep a clean sheet in only 18% of away games. Both teams have scored 5 goals in their last five matches and averaged 1.2 points per game over that period, so the form advantage is limited. However, home advantage, Rhode Island’s 50% home win rate and Louisville’s 45% away defeat rate all point towards a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Louisville City has a very strong seasonal BTTS signal, with BTTS landing in 82% of matches, while the team failed to score in none of its games. The visitors average 2.00 goals scored but concede 2.09, and their low 18% clean-sheet rate significantly increases Rhode Island’s chances of finding the net. The hosts create plenty of chances, posting an xG of 2.13 and averaging 6.0 shots on target, while Louisville’s defense allows an average xG of 1.54. The main argument against this pick is Rhode Island’s weaker recent run, with BTTS landing in only 20% of matches, while both teams have scored and conceded 1.0 goal per game across their last five fixtures. Despite this cautionary factor, the combination of Louisville’s consistently productive attack and the visitors’ vulnerable defense gives a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals landed in 73% of Rhode Island’s matches and in as many as 91% of Louisville City’s games, providing strong support for the low line. Louisville City score an average of 2.00 goals per match, while the hosts concede in 73% of their appearances, so the visitors should make a significant contribution to the total. Rhode Island generate an average of 2.13 xG and register 6.00 shots on target per match, while Louisville City allow opponents an average of 2.09 goals and 1.54 xG. Caution around higher lines is warranted by the teams’ last five matches: both have scored and conceded 1.00 goal per game during this period. Despite their weaker recent finishing, the projected total of 2.70 goals clearly supports Over 1.5 as the safest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Rhode Island victory at full-time, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 64% of their matches, compared with 55% for Louisville City. Rhode Island’s tendency toward cautious starts is further supported by their last five games: 80% of them were level at half-time, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored in the first half. After the break, the advantage should shift toward the hosts, who generate an average xG of 2.13, register 18.64 shots and 6 shots on target per match, while Louisville concede an average of 2.09 goals away from home and allow 1.54 xG. In addition, the visitors concede an average of 1.36 goals after half-time, whereas Rhode Island allow their opponents just 0.64 goals in this period, supporting a turnaround in a closely contested match in favor of the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rhode Island | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rhode Island is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Rhode Island · 1 pts / game - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Rhode Island · 1.68 goals / game - Louisville City
Rhode Island is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - Rhode Island · 1.64 goals / game - Louisville City
Rhode Island scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 games), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 games).
Louisville City scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 games), while Rhode Island keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rhode Island
Over / Under - Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rhode Island is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Rhode Island · 1.14 pts / game - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rhode Island - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rhode Island
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Rhode Island | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.65 | 2.73 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rhode Island's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Louisville City. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
The USL Championship match finished Rhode Island 1:1 Louisville City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rhode Island and Louisville City?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Rhode Island won 2, Louisville City won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Rhode Island score 1.50 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.68. The USL Championship average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Rhode Island's matches and 64% of Louisville City's.
What form are Rhode Island and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Rhode Island have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Louisville City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rhode Island vs Louisville City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


