South Africa - Premier Soccer LeagueRichards Bay Sports StadiumData current as of October 15, 2026

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: match statistics

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Richards Bay played against Mamelodi Sundowns in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The game was played on October 13, 2026. Venue: Richards Bay Sports Stadium. Final score: 1:4.

Recent form

Richards Bay has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Mamelodi Sundowns has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Richards Bay scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 2.43. Mamelodi Sundowns scores 2.38 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 86% of Richards Bay's games and 63% of Mamelodi Sundowns's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 50%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mamelodi Sundowns has the higher season xG average, 2.03 to 1.60 per game. Richards Bay takes 12.6 shots per game, while Mamelodi Sundowns takes 17.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Richards Bay leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Mamelodi Sundowns leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.63 after halftime.

When the teams score

Richards Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Mamelodi Sundowns, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier Soccer League games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

League leaders Mamelodi Sundowns remain unbeaten after 8 matches (6 wins and 2 draws), while 15th-placed Richards Bay have failed to win any of their 7 games. In the last 5 rounds, the visitors have earned 13 points and conceded 3 goals, while the hosts have collected just 2 points and shipped as many as 14 goals. The visitors’ advantage is also evident in chance quality: away from home, they average 1.82 xG and allow opponents 0.96 xG, compared with Richards Bay’s home figures of 1.73 and 1.62 xG, respectively. The hosts concede an average of 2.25 goals per home match and have lost 75% of those games; combined with Sundowns’ away scoring average of 1.75 goals, this significantly boosts the league leaders’ chances. A draw remains possible, as half of the visitors’ away matches have ended level, but the form and defensive record point to an away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS - Yes is marginally more likely, as both teams scored in 80% of Richards Bay’s last 5 matches and 60% of Mamelodi Sundowns’ last 5. The hosts conceded an average of 2.8 goals during this period, giving Mamelodi a strong basis for finding the net, especially with the visitors averaging 2.0 goals scored. Richards Bay also has a chance to score: it averaged 1.2 goals in its last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.61. However, caution is warranted: Mamelodi have conceded just 0.6 goals per match recently, while Richards Bay kept a clean sheet in 75% of its home matches. These signals temper the case for BTTS - Yes, but do not outweigh the scoring form of both attacks and the hosts’ recent defensive vulnerability.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last five matches, Richards Bay averaged 1.2 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.8, while Mamelodi Sundowns scored 2.0 goals and conceded just 0.6. The average xG over this period is 1.61 for the hosts and 1.89 for the visitors, supporting a forecast of around 3.1 goals in the match. Over 1.5 goals was recorded in 100% of both teams’ matches in the statistics provided, while at least three goals were scored in 80% and 60% of their respective last five matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick; higher lines are less certain, particularly as only 33% of matches across the league finish with at least three goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Mamelodi Sundowns were level at the break in 3 of the 4 matches covered by the season statistics and in 3 of their last 5 fixtures. Richards Bay did lead at the break in 3 of those 4 matches and did not concede in the first half in any of them, so the X/2 pick is not without risk. However, the visitors’ form over their last 5 matches points in their favor: they won 4, while the hosts did not win any and conceded an average of 2.8 goals per match, compared with 0.6 for Sundowns. The second-half figures from these matches are particularly compelling: the visitors averaged 1.4 goals after the break, while Richards Bay conceded 2.0 and lost the second half in 4 of 5 matches. I therefore rate a competitive first half followed by a Sundowns win after the break more highly than the other scenarios.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

26Possession (%)74
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
5Shots22
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
3Shots on target9
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0xG0
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
2Corners7
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0Dangerous attacks0
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
7Fouls17
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0Cards1
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
1.14Goals scored / game2.38
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
2.43Goals allowed / game0.88
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
48%Average possession68%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
4.43Shots on target / game6.25
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.57Shots per game17.13
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
4.43Shots on target6.25
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
9.1%Shot conversion13.9%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
48%Possession68%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
1.6xG for2.03
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
1.63xG against1
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

Shooting quality

Richards Bay: BalancedMamelodi Sundowns: Dominant
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mamelodi Sundowns is 550% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / game - Richards Bay · 2.6 pts / game - Mamelodi Sundowns

Richards Bay
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W43% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-4
0.43 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
LDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Mamelodi Sundowns
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
75% W25% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-0
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 away
2-2-0
WDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mamelodi Sundowns is 109% better for: goals scored per game.

1.14 goals / game - Richards Bay · 2.38 goals / game - Mamelodi Sundowns

Mamelodi Sundowns is 176% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.43 goals / game - Richards Bay · 0.88 goals / game - Mamelodi Sundowns

Richards Bay scoring profile: very strong

Richards Bay scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Mamelodi Sundowns keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

Mamelodi Sundowns scoring profile: very strong

Mamelodi Sundowns scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Richards Bay keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

8Goals scored (season)19
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
17Goals conceded (season)7
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
3.57Average goals per game3.25
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
6Goals scored (last 5)13
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
14Goals conceded (last 5)4
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal100%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
29%2 goals75%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0%3 goals38%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0%4 goals13%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal63%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
71%2 goals25%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
29%3 goals0%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
14%4 goals0%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time13%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0%BTTS in both halves13%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0%Scored in both halves63%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
80%BTTS - last 560%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mamelodi Sundowns is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Richards Bay · 2 pts / game - Mamelodi Sundowns

Richards Bay - half-time state
29% leading14% draw57% trailing
Mamelodi Sundowns - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)2
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.13
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
1.29Average goals (1st half)0.88
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
29%Clean sheet before half-time88%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
71%No goal before half-time38%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

After half-time (2nd half)

0.71Points per game (2nd half)2.25
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1.63
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
1.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
2.29Average goals (2nd half)2.38
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
14%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns
43%No goal after half-time0%
Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

Richards Bay - second-half results

14% W29% D57% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mamelodi Sundowns - second-half results

63% W38% D0% L
16
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Richards Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.82.0
Average goals per game1.42.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-7
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mamelodi Sundowns - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.20
Goals scored / game0.81.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game0.82.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+4+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Richards Bay
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Mamelodi Sundowns
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
8
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.42
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
150%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Richards Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
234%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Mamelodi Sundowns

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
229%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).

Teams vs league

Richards BayLigaMamelodi Sundowns
Average goals per game▲ 3.572.28▲ 3.25
Both teams scored▲ 86%44%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%33%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%36%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%56%▲ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%70%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Mamelodi SundownsGoalTashreeq MatthewsAssist: Siyanda Ndlovu
  2. Richards BayGoalLwandile Sandile Mabuya
  3. Mamelodi SundownsGoalIqraam RaynersAssist: Tashreeq Matthews
  4. Mamelodi SundownsGoalIqraam Rayners
  5. Mamelodi SundownsGoalFawaaz BasadienAssist: Teboho Mokoena
  6. Mamelodi SundownsSubstitutionOn: Nuno Miguel Valente SantosOff: Cassius Mailula
  7. Richards BaySubstitutionOn: Wandile NgemaOff: Siyabonga Nzama
  8. Mamelodi SundownsYellow cardFawaaz Basadien
  9. Mamelodi SundownsSubstitutionOn: Mothobi MvalaOff: Malibongwe Prince Khoza

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Richards Bay's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Mamelodi Sundowns. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Richards Bay
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
4 : 1
Richards Bay

FAQ

What was the result of Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

The Premier Soccer League match finished Richards Bay 1:4 Mamelodi Sundowns. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Richards Bay won 0, Mamelodi Sundowns won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Richards Bay score 1.14 goals per game on average and Mamelodi Sundowns 2.38. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Richards Bay's matches and 63% of Mamelodi Sundowns's.

What form are Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns in?

Over the last 5 games Richards Bay have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

The statistical background for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.