Riga FC II vs Skanste: match statistics

Skanste arrive in clearly better form: they have collected 10 points from their last 5 matches, winning 3 times and scoring as many as 17 goals, while Riga FC II have managed just 2 points and 4 goals. However, the hosts are more solid at home, where they win 56% of their matches and average 1.78 goals, with 1.44 xG. The key factor is Riga FC II’s defensive crisis during their current run: they have conceded 11 goals in 5 matches, while Skanste regularly convert their chances. Both defenses allow opponents high-quality opportunities, with average xG against of 1.72 for the hosts and 1.82 for the visitors, but Skanste’s current efficiency points to an away win. The risk stems from the visitors’ very poor away record, having lost 63% of their matches on the road, but their current form gives them the edge.

Skanste have recorded BTTS in 75% of their matches this season, while both teams scored in 100% of their last five games—an extremely strong signal that the opposition is likely to find the net. The visitors have recently averaged 3.4 goals, whereas Riga FC II have conceded 2.2 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 20% of their games throughout the season. Although Riga FC II have scored just 0.8 goals across their last five appearances, Skanste’s defense has failed to keep a single clean sheet this season and concedes an average of 2.38 goals. The hosts’ attacking potential is further confirmed by an average xG of 1.66 and 6.33 shots on target per match, while Skanste allow opponents an xG of 1.82. Both sides also have high rates of matches featuring at least three goals—70% and 75%, respectively—so an open game with goals at both ends is the more likely scenario. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Both teams exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their league matches, providing a very strong case for an open game. Skanste averages 1.75 goals per match, while Riga FC II concedes 1.60; additionally, the visitors have scored as many as 17 goals in their last 5 appearances, averaging 3.4 per game. Skanste’s defense has kept no clean sheets and concedes an average of 2.38 goals, so the hosts should have a realistic chance of scoring despite averaging only 0.8 goals across their last five matches. The combined xG averages of both sides point to approximately 3.35 goals, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 70% of Riga’s matches and 75% of Skanste’s. However, the safest edge is on Over 1.5, as the season data for both teams contains not a single match ending with a maximum of one goal.

The strongest signal points to Skanste leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle: in their last five matches, the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 60% of games, while Riga FC II were trailing at that stage in 60%. During this period, Skanste averaged 2.2 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.4 for the hosts, clearly increasing the likelihood of an early advantage for the visitors. The full-time results also favor the away side: they won 60% of their last five matches and averaged 2.0 points per game, compared with no wins and 0.4 points for Riga FC II. The hosts have stronger full-season home statistics, but their recent average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded indicates a clear decline in form. The 2/2 scenario is also supported by the second half, in which Skanste averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded just 0.4 over their last five matches.