Riga vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
Riga vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Riga play FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Riga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. FS Jelgava: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Riga scores 2.96 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. FS Jelgava scores 1.09 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Riga 57%, FS Jelgava 45%. Over 2.5: Riga 83%, FS Jelgava 41%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.30. Riga: 17.2 shots per match, FS Jelgava: 10.6.
Match halves
Riga: half-time lead 70%, second-half goals 1.43. FS Jelgava: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Riga: 31-45+ (16 goals). FS Jelgava: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 5-1-0. Average goals 3.83, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Riga has a significant offensive advantage at home — averaging 3.2 goals per match, xG 2.23, 6.4 shots on target per game and 17% conversion with 64% possession. In the last 5 matches Riga scored 15 goals and averaged 2.6 points per game, while FS Jelgava scored 4 goals and has 1.4 points per game in the same period. Defensively the hosts also perform better: opponents generate on average 0.76 xG against Riga at their ground, whereas Jelgava concede 1.61 xG on the road and lose on average 1.33 goals per game. Additionally Riga have not had a goalless home match (0% matches without a goal) and have an 80% win rate at home, while Jelgava win only 17% of away games and fail to score in 50% of away matches; therefore I assess probabilities at 75% for the hosts, 15% for a draw and 10% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Riga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Riga · 1.8 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 172% better for: goals scored per match.
2.96 goals / match - Riga · 1.09 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Riga is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Riga · 1.73 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Riga scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
FS Jelgava scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Riga
Over / Under — FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.22 pts / match - Riga · 1.5 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 70% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Riga
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Riga | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.83 | 3.01 | ▼ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 56% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 23% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Riga 5 - 1 - 0 FS Jelgava. Average goals 3.83, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished Riga 2:2 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga and FS Jelgava?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Riga won 5, FS Jelgava won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs FS Jelgava?
Riga score 2.96 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.09. The Virsliga average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Riga's matches and 45% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are Riga and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games Riga have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and FS Jelgava 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs FS Jelgava?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.