Rijeka vs Varaždin: match statistics
Rijeka demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches, achieving a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +9 at their own stadium. The hosts boast better offensive indicators in home games (1.73 goals on average and an xG of 1.74), as well as a solid defense with a 45% clean sheet rate. Varaždin records poor away results with only a 36% win rate and a negative goal difference of -2, conceding an average of 1.27 goals per away match. The recent form of both teams is balanced, however, Rijeka's home advantage and Varaždin's weakness away from home (45% defeats) point towards a home win. However, Rijeka's high percentage of home draws (36%) suggests that the match could be closely contested, justifying a significant probability of a share of the points.
Rijeka vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rijeka played against Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Rijeka has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Varaždin has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Rijeka scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.10. Varaždin scores 1.33 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Rijeka's games and 62% of Varaždin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 52%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rijeka has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.39 per game. Rijeka takes 14.7 shots per game, while Varaždin takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Rijeka leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Varaždin leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rijeka's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Varaždin, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rijeka demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches, achieving a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +9 at their own stadium. The hosts boast better offensive indicators in home games (1.73 goals on average and an xG of 1.74), as well as a solid defense with a 45% clean sheet rate. Varaždin records poor away results with only a 36% win rate and a negative goal difference of -2, conceding an average of 1.27 goals per away match. The recent form of both teams is balanced, however, Rijeka's home advantage and Varaždin's weakness away from home (45% defeats) point towards a home win. However, Rijeka's high percentage of home draws (36%) suggests that the match could be closely contested, justifying a significant probability of a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rijeka | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Varaždin is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Rijeka · 1.8 pts / game - Varaždin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rijeka is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Rijeka · 1.33 goals / game - Varaždin
Rijeka is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Rijeka · 1.29 goals / game - Varaždin
Rijeka scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
Varaždin scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Rijeka keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rijeka
Over / Under - Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rijeka is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Rijeka · 1.33 pts / game - Varaždin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rijeka - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rijeka
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Rijeka | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.57 | 2.70 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 53% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Rijeka's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Varaždin. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rijeka vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Rijeka 3:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rijeka and Varaždin?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 0, Varaždin won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rijeka vs Varaždin?
Rijeka score 1.48 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.33. The Prva HNL average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Rijeka's matches and 62% of Varaždin's.
What form are Rijeka and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Rijeka have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Varaždin 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rijeka vs Varaždin?
The statistical background for Rijeka vs Varaždin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.