Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rio Ave FC played against CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Rio Ave FC has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. CD Nacional has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Rio Ave FC scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 2.14. CD Nacional scores 1.00 and allows 2.14. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 14% of Rio Ave FC's games and 43% of CD Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 0.84 per game. Rio Ave FC takes 7.1 shots per game, while CD Nacional takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Rio Ave FC leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. CD Nacional leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rio Ave FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For CD Nacional, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rio Ave have a slight edge heading into this match: they have picked up 4 points in their last five games, while CD Nacional have lost all five. At home, the hosts average 1 goal scored and an xG of 1.00, whereas the visitors average 0.67 goals and 0.77 xG away from home, pointing to greater attacking potential for Rio Ave. However, the hosts’ defense is a concern, conceding an average of 3 goals per home game, compared with Nacional’s 1.67 goals conceded away. Both teams have failed to score in 67% of their respective home and away matches, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. The pick for Rio Ave is driven primarily by the visitors’ dismal run, although the hosts’ poor defensive record limits confidence in this prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No—meaning at least one team will fail to score—is Nacional’s attacking output: the visitors average 0.67 goals per match and have failed to score in 67% of their games. They also average just 2 shots on target, with an xG of 0.77, limiting their chances of exploiting Rio Ave’s weaker defense, which concedes an average of 2.5 goals. Rio Ave have considerably greater scoring potential, averaging 1.25 goals with an xG of 1.43, particularly as Nacional have yet to keep a clean sheet. Even so, both teams scored in only 20% of Rio Ave’s and 40% of Nacional’s last 5 matches, making it more likely that the visitors will fail to find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Rio Ave’s home matches and 67% of Nacional’s away matches. The hosts average 14 shots and an xG of 1.43, while the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals, with opponents recording an xG of 2.10, giving Rio Ave a clear chance to score. Nacional score just 0.67 goals per away match and have failed to score in 67% of those games, so I assess their contribution to the total more cautiously. A projected total of 2.75 goals supports Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line remains less certain: Rio Ave’s home matches have featured at least 3 goals in 75% of cases, compared with just 33% of Nacional’s away matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rio Ave have greater attacking potential, averaging 14 shots per match compared with Nacional’s 6.67, while their xG stands at 1.43 against their opponents’ 0.77. The case for the hosts to lead at the break is strengthened by Nacional’s record of trailing at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 1.8 first-half goals in those games. However, confidence in this scenario is tempered by the fact that Rio Ave have not led at half-time in any of their 4 home matches. Rio Ave are more likely to hold on to their advantage than to see the visitors produce a turnaround, given that Nacional have lost all of their last 5 matches and averaged just 0.6 goals scored in them. Therefore, 1/1 is the most compelling single selection, although a half-time draw followed by a Rio Ave win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - Rio Ave FC · 1 goals / game - CD Nacional
Rio Ave FC scores in 29% of games (2 of 7 games), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
CD Nacional scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Rio Ave FC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rio Ave FC
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rio Ave FC is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Rio Ave FC · 0.43 pts / game - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rio Ave FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rio Ave FC
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Rio Ave FC | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.86 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 14% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 70% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rio Ave FC's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against CD Nacional. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Rio Ave FC 3:2 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rio Ave FC and CD Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rio Ave FC won 0, CD Nacional won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional?
Rio Ave FC score 0.71 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Rio Ave FC's matches and 43% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Rio Ave FC and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Rio Ave FC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CD Nacional 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional?
The statistical background for Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.