Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
Rionegro Águilas displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, supporting the hosts' advantage. Atlético Nacional faces serious issues in away matches—only 33% wins, 67% losses, and just 0.67 goals scored per match on average, representing a significant weakness. The hosts hold the advantage in expected goals (xG) at their own stadium (1.71 vs 1.34 for the visitors away), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Atlético Nacional's recent form over five matches (lwwll) is unstable with three losses, whereas Rionegro shows more balance. Given the home advantage, better offensive statistics for the hosts in home matches, and the visitors' weakness on the road, a victory for Rionegro Águilas is predicted, although the difference in class between the teams could also lead to a draw.
Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rionegro Águilas played against Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Rionegro Águilas has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Atlético Nacional has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Rionegro Águilas scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.00. Atlético Nacional scores 2.14 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Rionegro Águilas's games and 43% of Atlético Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 71%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.30 per game. Rionegro Águilas takes 12.1 shots per game, while Atlético Nacional takes 16.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Rionegro Águilas leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rionegro Águilas's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Atlético Nacional, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rionegro Águilas displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, supporting the hosts' advantage. Atlético Nacional faces serious issues in away matches—only 33% wins, 67% losses, and just 0.67 goals scored per match on average, representing a significant weakness. The hosts hold the advantage in expected goals (xG) at their own stadium (1.71 vs 1.34 for the visitors away), suggesting greater offensive efficiency. Atlético Nacional's recent form over five matches (lwwll) is unstable with three losses, whereas Rionegro shows more balance. Given the home advantage, better offensive statistics for the hosts in home matches, and the visitors' weakness on the road, a victory for Rionegro Águilas is predicted, although the difference in class between the teams could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rionegro Águilas | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Nacional is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Rionegro Águilas · 1.8 pts / game - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 89% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Rionegro Águilas · 2.14 goals / game - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Rionegro Águilas · 0.71 goals / game - Atlético Nacional
Rionegro Águilas scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
Atlético Nacional scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rionegro Águilas
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Rionegro Águilas · 1.71 pts / game - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rionegro Águilas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rionegro Águilas
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Rionegro Águilas | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.13 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Rionegro Águilas's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlético Nacional. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Rionegro Águilas 1:2 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rionegro Águilas and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rionegro Águilas won 1, Atlético Nacional won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional?
Rionegro Águilas score 1.13 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.14. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rionegro Águilas's matches and 43% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Rionegro Águilas and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Rionegro Águilas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.