Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 16 July 2026

Rivers United vs El Kanemi Warriors: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Rivers United vs El Kanemi Warriors: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rivers United play El Kanemi Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 4 March 2026 at 16:00.

Current form

Rivers United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. El Kanemi Warriors: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rivers United scores 1.16 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. El Kanemi Warriors scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rivers United 39%, El Kanemi Warriors 26%. Over 2.5: Rivers United 34%, El Kanemi Warriors 42%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Rivers United has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.04. Rivers United: 7.7 shots per match, El Kanemi Warriors: 1.9.

Match halves

Rivers United: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76. El Kanemi Warriors: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.32.

Goals by minute

Rivers United: 76-90+ (15 goals). El Kanemi Warriors: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
1.16Goals scored / match0.79
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
0.82Goals conceded / match1.21
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
44%Average possession16%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
2.71Shots on target / match0.11
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.74Shots per match1.92
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
2.71Shots on target0.11
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
15%Shot conversion41.1%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
44%Possession16%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
1.46xG for1.04
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
1.05xG against1.69
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

Shooting quality

Rivers United: Counter-attackingEl Kanemi Warriors: Counter-attacking
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
Accuracy (shots on target)35%6%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.54
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.437.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rivers United is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Rivers United · 0.8 pts / match - El Kanemi Warriors

Rivers United
WLWWW
Season result split
50% W26% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-10-9
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
16-2-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
El Kanemi Warriors
WLLDL
Season result split
34% W21% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-17
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-16
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rivers United is 47% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Rivers United · 0.79 goals / match - El Kanemi Warriors

Rivers United is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.82 goals / match - Rivers United · 1.21 goals / match - El Kanemi Warriors

Rivers United scoring profile: strong

Rivers United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while El Kanemi Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

El Kanemi Warriors scoring profile: mixed

El Kanemi Warriors scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Rivers United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).

44Goals scored (season)30
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
31Goals conceded (season)46
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
1.97Average goals in match2
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
11Goals scored (last 5)2
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal53%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
21%2 goals21%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
16%3 goals5%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
3%4 goals0%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal58%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
21%2 goals39%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
5%3 goals24%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
5%4 goals0%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

26%
El Kanemi Warriors - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 38 matches
38%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time16%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
3%BTTS in both halves5%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
13%Scored in both halves11%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
40%BTTS - last 520%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rivers United is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Rivers United · 1.08 pts / match - El Kanemi Warriors

Rivers United - half-time state
18% leading58% draw24% trailing
El Kanemi Warriors - half-time state
21% leading45% draw34% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.08
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.37
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
0.87Average goals (1st half)0.97
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
63%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
66%No goal before half-time68%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

After half-time (2nd half)

1.74Points per match (2nd half)0.97
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.32
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
1.11Average goals (2nd half)0.92
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
71%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors
45%No goal after half-time74%
Rivers UnitedEl Kanemi Warriors

Rivers United - second-half results

45% W39% R16% P
43
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding278%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

El Kanemi Warriors - second-half results

16% W50% R34% P
41
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rivers United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
El Kanemi Warriors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rivers United
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
3
46-60
7
4
61-75
15
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

El Kanemi Warriors
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
9
14
31-45
4
8
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.99
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rivers United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

El Kanemi Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+13.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Rivers UnitedLigaEl Kanemi Warriors
Average goals in match 1.972.02 2.00
Both teams scored 39%38% 26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%34% 42%
Clean sheets 50%37% 42%
Goal before half-time 53%61% 66%
Goal after half-time 68%64% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Rivers United 0 - 1 - 0 El Kanemi Warriors. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

El Kanemi Warriors FC
0 : 0
Rivers United FC

FAQ

When do Rivers United and El Kanemi Warriors play?

Rivers United face El Kanemi Warriors on 4 March 2026 in NPFL. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rivers United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Rivers United score 1.16 goals per game on average and El Kanemi Warriors 0.79. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Rivers United's matches and 26% of El Kanemi Warriors's.

What form are Rivers United and El Kanemi Warriors in?

Over the last 5 games Rivers United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and El Kanemi Warriors 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rivers United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rivers United vs El Kanemi Warriors: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.