Rizespor vs Samsunspor: match statistics

Samsunspor are in better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, with 3 wins, a draw and a defeat, while Rizespor have managed 7 points. The visitors scored 13 goals during this period, averaging 2.6 per match—clearly more than Rizespor’s 7 goals. However, Rizespor conceded as many as 10 goals in their last five outings, which, combined with Samsunspor’s attacking strength, increases the visitors’ chances of scoring multiple times. The hosts opened the season with a 1:0 win, but this is too small a sample to offset the visitors’ stronger trend, especially as Samsunspor drew their opening league match 3:3. Samsunspor’s superior scoring efficiency and recent results support an away win, although the visitors’ defense, which has conceded 9 goals in five matches, leaves Rizespor with a realistic chance of finding the net.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by the current form of both teams, as Rizespor and Samsunspor have both produced this outcome in 60% of their last 5 matches. Rizespor averaged 1.4 goals scored during this period but conceded as many as 2.0, while Samsunspor scored 2.6 goals and conceded 1.8 per match. Their attacking potential is also evident in the xG figures: the hosts created chances worth 1.87 xG, while the visitors recorded 1.53 xG, with their opponents allowing 1.79 and 1.35 xG respectively. Samsunspor scored 13 goals in their last five appearances, while Rizespor conceded 10, clearly strengthening the visitors’ chances of finding the net. Both teams’ defenses have been vulnerable to conceding, making it more likely that each side will score at least one goal than that either team will fail to score.

Rizespor’s latest five matches produced an average of 3.4 goals, with the team scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.0 per game. Samsunspor’s matches were even more open, averaging 4.4 goals, with 2.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per match. The 2.5 line was surpassed in 80% of Rizespor’s last five matches and in 100% of Samsunspor’s games during this period, well above the league average of 44%. The attacking potential is supported by xG: Rizespor averaged 1.87 xG, while Samsunspor recorded 1.53 xG, with both teams regularly allowing opponents to create chances. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as the projected 3.35 goals and both teams’ high scoring efficiency in recent matches significantly reduce the likelihood of a one-goal-or-fewer outcome.

Samsunspor are in clearly stronger form: they have averaged 2.6 goals and won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Rizespor conceded 2.0 goals per game over the same period. The visitors have been particularly strong starters, leading at the break in 3 of their last 5 outings, whereas Rizespor averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded before half-time. After the interval, Samsunspor still hold the attacking edge, averaging 1.4 goals compared with Rizespor’s 0.8, while the hosts have lost the second half in 3 of their last 5 matches. The HT/FT scenario of Samsunspor leading at half-time and securing the final victory is therefore the best supported by both teams’ form and goal records.