RKC Waalwijk vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

RKC Waalwijk play MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 25 November 2025 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

RKC Waalwijk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. MVV: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

RKC Waalwijk scores 1.87 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. MVV scores 1.08 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: RKC Waalwijk 76%, MVV 53%. Over 2.5: RKC Waalwijk 71%, MVV 61%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

RKC Waalwijk has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.27. RKC Waalwijk: 14.8 shots per match, MVV: 11.2.

Match halves

RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.95. MVV: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (18 goals). MVV: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
RKC WaalwijkMVV
15Shots10
RKC WaalwijkMVV
7Shots on target3
RKC WaalwijkMVV
1.97xG1.27
RKC WaalwijkMVV
4Corners2
RKC WaalwijkMVV
74Dangerous attacks59
RKC WaalwijkMVV
15Fouls16
RKC WaalwijkMVV
2Cards2
RKC WaalwijkMVV

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.87Goals scored / match1.08
RKC WaalwijkMVV
1.55Goals conceded / match1.92
RKC WaalwijkMVV
51%Average possession44%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
5.37Shots on target / match3.74
RKC WaalwijkMVV

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.82Shots per match11.21
RKC WaalwijkMVV
5.37Shots on target3.74
RKC WaalwijkMVV
12.6%Shot conversion9.6%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
51%Possession44%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
1.67xG for1.27
RKC WaalwijkMVV
1.41xG against1.97
RKC WaalwijkMVV

Shooting quality

RKC Waalwijk: AttackingMVV: Balanced
RKC WaalwijkMVV
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

RKC Waalwijk is 400% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 0.4 pts / match - MVV

RKC Waalwijk
WDWLW
Season result split
42% W26% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-10-12
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-6
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
MVV
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
24% W29% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-11-18
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -32
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-10
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

RKC Waalwijk is 73% better for: goals scored per match.

1.87 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.08 goals / match - MVV

RKC Waalwijk is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.55 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk · 1.92 goals / match - MVV

RKC Waalwijk scoring profile: very strong

RKC Waalwijk scores in 92% of matches (35 of 38 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).

MVV scoring profile: strong

MVV scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

71Goals scored (season)41
RKC WaalwijkMVV
59Goals conceded (season)73
RKC WaalwijkMVV
3.42Average goals in match3
RKC WaalwijkMVV
15Goals scored (last 5)2
RKC WaalwijkMVV
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
RKC WaalwijkMVV

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal58%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
58%2 goals34%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
21%3 goals13%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
13%4 goals3%
RKC WaalwijkMVV

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal84%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
50%2 goals53%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
16%3 goals32%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
5%4 goals18%
RKC WaalwijkMVV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time29%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
0%BTTS in both halves8%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
34%Scored in both halves24%
RKC WaalwijkMVV

BTTS and goal count

66%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
80%BTTS - last 540%
RKC WaalwijkMVV

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
RKC WaalwijkMVV

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
RKC WaalwijkMVV

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

RKC Waalwijk is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.74 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk · 0.82 pts / match - MVV

RKC Waalwijk - half-time state
47% leading32% draw21% trailing
MVV - half-time state
11% leading50% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.74Points per match (1st half)0.82
RKC WaalwijkMVV
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.45
RKC WaalwijkMVV
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.84
RKC WaalwijkMVV
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.29
RKC WaalwijkMVV
53%Clean sheet before half-time39%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
34%No goal before half-time61%
RKC WaalwijkMVV

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.18
RKC WaalwijkMVV
0.95Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
RKC WaalwijkMVV
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
RKC WaalwijkMVV
1.92Average goals (2nd half)1.71
RKC WaalwijkMVV
37%Clean sheet after half-time34%
RKC WaalwijkMVV
39%No goal after half-time58%
RKC WaalwijkMVV

RKC Waalwijk - second-half results

29% W34% R37% P
66
Half-time points
35
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MVV - second-half results

29% W32% R39% P
31
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding218%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

RKC Waalwijk - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match2.02.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
MVV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

RKC Waalwijk
ScoredConceded
12
4
0-15
15
8
16-30
8
10
31-45
9
10
46-60
9
8
61-75
18
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

MVV
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
7
13
16-30
3
9
31-45
7
16
46-60
8
9
61-75
9
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

RKC Waalwijk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

MVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

RKC WaalwijkLigaMVV
Average goals in match 3.423.19 3.00
Both teams scored 76%61% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%63% 61%
Clean sheets 18%21% 16%
Goal before half-time 87%77% 71%
Goal after half-time 84%86% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.74
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: RKC Waalwijk 1 - 0 - 0 MVV. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of RKC Waalwijk vs MVV?

The Eerste Divisie match finished RKC Waalwijk 1:0 MVV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before RKC Waalwijk vs MVV?

RKC Waalwijk score 1.87 goals per game on average and MVV 1.08. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 76% of RKC Waalwijk's matches and 53% of MVV's.

What form are RKC Waalwijk and MVV in?

Over the last 5 games RKC Waalwijk have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and MVV 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RKC Waalwijk vs MVV?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for RKC Waalwijk vs MVV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.