RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda: match statistics
RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
RKC Waalwijk played against NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on September 4, 2026. Venue: Mandemakers Stadion. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
RKC Waalwijk has 0 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. NAC Breda has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.
Scoring records
RKC Waalwijk scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. NAC Breda scores 1.75 and allows 1.75. Games in this league average 3.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of RKC Waalwijk's games and 75% of NAC Breda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 75%, compared with league averages of 79% for BTTS and 74% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NAC Breda has the higher season xG average, 2.22 to 1.81 per game. RKC Waalwijk takes 15.5 shots per game, while NAC Breda takes 22.8.
First-half and second-half trends
RKC Waalwijk leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. NAC Breda leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
RKC Waalwijk's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For NAC Breda, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eerste Divisie games average 3.79 goals. Both teams score in 79% of games, and 74% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NAC Breda sit 8th, while RKC Waalwijk are 11th. The visitors have collected 8 points from their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 2 draws, compared with the hosts’ 5 draws. Breda create more high-quality chances away from home: their average xG stands at 2.12, compared with RKC’s 1.87, and they also average 23 shots per match against their opponents’ 16. Both teams score 2 goals per game, whether at home or away, but RKC concede an average of 2 goals, compared with NAC’s 1.5, giving the visitors a slight defensive edge. The hosts have drawn all of their home matches so far and have yet to keep a clean sheet, making a draw a realistic outcome. However, NAC’s greater possession share (66% versus 44%) and superior chance quality favor an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is very strong: RKC have recorded BTTS in 50% of their matches, while NAC have done so in as many as 100%, compared with a league average of 78%. Neither team has kept a single clean sheet, while the hosts concede an average of 2.0 goals per match and NAC score 2.0 goals per game. Across their last five outings, BTTS occurred in 100% of RKC matches and 80% of NAC matches; the teams scored an average of 1.4 and 2.0 goals per game, respectively. Their attacking potential is supported by high xG figures: 1.77 for RKC and 2.20 for NAC over the last five matches, as well as season averages of 22.5 and 23.0 shots taken. The BTTS - Yes scenario is the most likely outcome, as both defenses regularly allow opponents to create chances, with NAC in particular consistently both scoring and conceding goals.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have played matches with at least 2 goals in 100% of cases, and neither has kept a clean sheet yet. RKC average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while NAC score 2.0 and also allow opponents an average of 1.5 goals. The creative potential remains high: RKC’s average xG is 2.32 and NAC’s 2.12, with 22.5 and 23.0 shots per match, respectively. In their last five matches, both teams have frequently seen both sides score, with RKC recording this in 100% and NAC in 80% of matches. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, as the open nature of both defenses significantly reduces the likelihood of a match ending with no more than one goal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
RKC hold a slight edge in projected chance quality: the hosts’ average xG is 2.32, while NAC allow an average of 1.43 xG. The hosts also record an average of six shots on target compared with NAC’s five, although the visitors are more clinical in front of goal, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match versus RKC’s 1.5. In the first halves, RKC have led in 50% of their matches so far, while NAC have yet to take the lead, conceding an average of 1.0 goal before the break. The 1/1 scenario is further supported by RKC’s advantage across the last five second halves, in which they won 60% of those periods, while NAC have kept a clean sheet after half-time in only 20% of cases. The risk remains significant, as NAC are unbeaten this season and both teams are averaging a high 3.5 goals per match; however, home advantage and RKC’s superior xG profile favor them maintaining their lead in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| RKC Waalwijk | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NAC Breda is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - RKC Waalwijk · 1.75 pts / game - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NAC Breda is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - RKC Waalwijk · 1.75 goals / game - NAC Breda
RKC Waalwijk is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - RKC Waalwijk · 1.75 goals / game - NAC Breda
RKC Waalwijk scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 games).
NAC Breda scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 games), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NAC Breda is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / game - RKC Waalwijk · 1 pts / game - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 2.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
RKC Waalwijk
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| RKC Waalwijk | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.79 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 74% | • 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 11% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
The Eerste Divisie match finished RKC Waalwijk 4:2 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
RKC Waalwijk score 1.50 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.75. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 100% of RKC Waalwijk's matches and 75% of NAC Breda's.
What form are RKC Waalwijk and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games RKC Waalwijk have a 0-4-0 record (1.00 points per game) and NAC Breda 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
The statistical background for RKC Waalwijk vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.