Rochdale vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Rochdale presents impressive form as the table leader with an 86% win rate at home and a streak of five consecutive victories. The hosts have scored 54 goals this season while conceding just 18, and their home form (14 wins in the last 15 matches) is exceptionally stable. Forest Green Rovers, on the other hand, is going through a distinct crisis, losing three of their last five matches and conceding as many as 11 goals in that period. The difference in disposition is huge – Rochdale has a +22 goal difference at home, while the guests manage just +4 away. xG statistics (1.75 vs 1.71 for the guests) and Rochdale's 57% clean sheet rate in home matches further argue for a decisive victory for the hosts. Taking all parameters into account, especially the current form of both teams, Rochdale holds a clear advantage and should secure the three points.
Rochdale vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rochdale played against Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The game was played on February 11, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Rochdale has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Forest Green Rovers has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Rochdale scores 1.93 goals per game and allows 0.64. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.71 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Rochdale's games and 68% of Forest Green Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 48%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Forest Green Rovers has the higher season xG average, 2.04 to 1.66 per game. Rochdale takes 12.8 shots per game, while Forest Green Rovers takes 16.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Rochdale leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Forest Green Rovers leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rochdale's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). For Forest Green Rovers, it is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rochdale presents impressive form as the table leader with an 86% win rate at home and a streak of five consecutive victories. The hosts have scored 54 goals this season while conceding just 18, and their home form (14 wins in the last 15 matches) is exceptionally stable. Forest Green Rovers, on the other hand, is going through a distinct crisis, losing three of their last five matches and conceding as many as 11 goals in that period. The difference in disposition is huge – Rochdale has a +22 goal difference at home, while the guests manage just +4 away. xG statistics (1.75 vs 1.71 for the guests) and Rochdale's 57% clean sheet rate in home matches further argue for a decisive victory for the hosts. Taking all parameters into account, especially the current form of both teams, Rochdale holds a clear advantage and should secure the three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rochdale | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rochdale is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Rochdale · 1 pts / game - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rochdale is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.93 goals / game - Rochdale · 1.71 goals / game - Forest Green Rovers
Rochdale is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.64 goals / game - Rochdale · 1.06 goals / game - Forest Green Rovers
Rochdale scores in 96% of games (27 of 28 meczów), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 87% of games (27 of 31 meczów), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 57% (16 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rochdale
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rochdale is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.04 pts / game - Rochdale · 1.39 pts / game - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rochdale - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 82%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rochdale
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Rochdale | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.57 | 2.82 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rochdale's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Forest Green Rovers. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rochdale vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Rochdale 2:1 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rochdale vs Forest Green Rovers?
Rochdale score 1.93 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.71. The National League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rochdale's matches and 68% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Rochdale and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Rochdale have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rochdale vs Forest Green Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.