England - EFL League TwoCrown Oil ArenaData current as of October 17, 2026

Rochdale vs Grimsby Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Rochdale vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Rochdale plays Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The game is scheduled for October 20, 2026. Venue: Crown Oil Arena.

Recent form

Rochdale has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Grimsby Town has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Rochdale scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.20. Grimsby Town scores 1.30 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Rochdale's games and 50% of Grimsby Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.02 per game. Rochdale takes 8.6 shots per game, while Grimsby Town takes 15.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Rochdale leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Rochdale's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Grimsby Town, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.19)
(3.45)
(2.05)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

RochdaleGrimsby Town
1.1Goals scored / game1.3
RochdaleGrimsby Town
1.2Goals allowed / game1.1
RochdaleGrimsby Town
54%Average possession55%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
2.7Shots on target / game4.5
RochdaleGrimsby Town

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.6Shots per game15
RochdaleGrimsby Town
2.7Shots on target4.5
RochdaleGrimsby Town
12.8%Shot conversion8.7%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
54%Possession55%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
1.02xG for1.64
RochdaleGrimsby Town
1.69xG against1.2
RochdaleGrimsby Town

Shooting quality

Rochdale: BalancedGrimsby Town: Dominant
RochdaleGrimsby Town
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Rochdale is 83% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Rochdale · 1.2 pts / game - Grimsby Town

Rochdale
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-4
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Grimsby Town
WWLLL
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grimsby Town is 18% better for: goals scored per game.

1.1 goals / game - Rochdale · 1.3 goals / game - Grimsby Town

Grimsby Town is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.2 goals / game - Rochdale · 1.1 goals / game - Grimsby Town

Rochdale scoring profile: strong

Rochdale scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

Grimsby Town scoring profile: strong

Grimsby Town scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

11Goals scored (season)13
RochdaleGrimsby Town
12Goals conceded (season)11
RochdaleGrimsby Town
2.3Average goals per game2.4
RochdaleGrimsby Town
6Goals scored (last 5)6
RochdaleGrimsby Town
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
RochdaleGrimsby Town

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal80%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
30%2 goals50%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
10%3 goals0%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
0%4 goals0%
RochdaleGrimsby Town

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal60%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
30%2 goals50%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
20%3 goals0%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
10%4 goals0%
RochdaleGrimsby Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time20%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
0%BTTS in both halves10%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
20%Scored in both halves10%
RochdaleGrimsby Town

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
40%BTTS - last 540%
RochdaleGrimsby Town

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
RochdaleGrimsby Town

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
RochdaleGrimsby Town

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grimsby Town is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / game - Rochdale · 1.5 pts / game - Grimsby Town

Rochdale - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing
Grimsby Town - half-time state
40% leading30% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1.5
RochdaleGrimsby Town
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.8
RochdaleGrimsby Town
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
RochdaleGrimsby Town
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.4
RochdaleGrimsby Town
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
70%No goal before half-time50%
RochdaleGrimsby Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)1
RochdaleGrimsby Town
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
RochdaleGrimsby Town
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
RochdaleGrimsby Town
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1
RochdaleGrimsby Town
60%Clean sheet after half-time60%
RochdaleGrimsby Town
40%No goal after half-time60%
RochdaleGrimsby Town

Rochdale - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grimsby Town - second-half results

10% W70% D20% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Rochdale - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.0
Average goals per game1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Grimsby Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.21.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Rochdale
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Rochdale

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

RochdaleLigaGrimsby Town
Average goals per game▼ 2.302.48• 2.40
Both teams scored▼ 40%53%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%43%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 40%28%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 70%66%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%76%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
0.99
Away goals / game
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defensive advantage
+31%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Rochdale and Grimsby Town play?

Rochdale face Grimsby Town on October 20, 2026 in EFL League Two at Crown Oil Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rochdale vs Grimsby Town?

Rochdale score 1.10 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.30. The EFL League Two average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Rochdale's matches and 50% of Grimsby Town's.

What form are Rochdale and Grimsby Town in?

Over the last 5 games Rochdale have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rochdale vs Grimsby Town?

The statistical background for Rochdale vs Grimsby Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.