Rochdale vs Swindon Town: match statistics
Rochdale vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rochdale played against Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Crown Oil Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Rochdale has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Swindon Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Rochdale scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.38. Swindon Town scores 1.13 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Rochdale's games and 50% of Swindon Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 63%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Swindon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.05 to 0.96 per game. Rochdale takes 8.0 shots per game, while Swindon Town takes 8.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Rochdale leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Swindon Town leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rochdale's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Swindon Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rochdale have a clear edge over their last five matches, taking 8 points and scoring 8 goals, compared with Swindon Town’s 1 point and 2 goals. The hosts have won 2 of their 4 home games and scored in every one, while the visitors have lost 3 of their 4 away games without scoring a single goal. Swindon’s away defense concedes an average of 2 goals and allows opponents chances worth 2.05 xG per match, giving Rochdale an opportunity to make home advantage count. However, caution is warranted given the hosts’ attacking xG of just 0.92 at home and the 1.57 xG they concede at the other end, so a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indicator against both teams scoring is Swindon’s away form: they average 0 goals scored, have failed to score in 100% of matches, and manage just 1.5 shots on target per game. In their last 5 matches, the visitors have also scored only 2 goals—an average of 0.4 per game—even though their xG was 1.11. Rochdale have greater attacking potential at home, averaging 2.25 goals and 5 shots on target, while Swindon concede an average of 2 goals away, so a home goal looks likely. The risk to the BTTS - No pick is that Rochdale concede an average of 1 goal at home and have seen BTTS in 100% of their home matches. However, the visitors’ poor finishing supports the scenario in which Swindon fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Rochdale average 2.25 goals at home, while Swindon concede 2.0 goals away, giving the hosts a realistic chance of scoring at least two goals on their own. The underlying metrics support this: Rochdale’s xG is 1.34, while Swindon’s xG conceded stands at 2.05. Over their last five matches, Swindon have conceded an average of 2.0 goals and scored just 0.4, so their contribution to the total could be limited. Over 1.5 goals has landed in all of Rochdale’s home matches, but in only 50% of Swindon’s away games, making it a more cautious choice than Over 2.5 goals. With a projected total of 2.70 goals, Over 1.5 goals therefore offers the clearest edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rochdale won 75% of the analyzed home matches, scoring an average of 2.25 goals, while Swindon failed to win any of their away matches and did not score in any of them. Before half-time, the hosts score an average of 0.75 goals, while the visitors concede 0.75 and have not led away from home, supporting the case for Rochdale to lead at the break. Their advantage could hold after the interval: Rochdale score an average of 1.5 goals in the second half, while Swindon concede 1.25. The difference in shots on target also supports the 1/1 pick, with the hosts averaging 5 per match compared with 1.5 for the visitors. A draw at half-time followed by a Rochdale win remains a notable alternative, as both teams were level at the break in 50% of the analyzed matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rochdale | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rochdale is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Rochdale · 1.4 pts / game - Swindon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rochdale is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Rochdale · 1.5 goals / game - Swindon Town
Rochdale scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
Swindon Town scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rochdale
Over / Under - Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rochdale is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Rochdale · 0.88 pts / game - Swindon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rochdale - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rochdale
Swindon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Rochdale | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.50 | 2.59 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Rochdale 1:0 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Rochdale score 1.13 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.13. The EFL League Two average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Rochdale's matches and 50% of Swindon Town's.
What form are Rochdale and Swindon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Rochdale have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Swindon Town 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.