Rochdale vs Tamworth: match statistics
Rochdale are the clear favorite for this match, sitting in 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 29 wins this season and a +28 goal difference at home. The hosts have won 84% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 53% of their games. Tamworth are a distant 12th with a negative goal difference of -18 away from home, losing 53% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.16 goals per game. The form of both teams also favors the hosts – Rochdale have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Tamworth have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The xG stats (1.78 vs 1.32) and possession advantage (58% vs 37%) further confirm Rochdale's dominance, making a home win the most likely scenario.
Rochdale vs Tamworth: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rochdale played against Tamworth in National League (England). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Rochdale has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Tamworth has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Rochdale scores 1.95 goals per game and allows 0.76. Tamworth scores 1.32 and allows 1.66. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Rochdale's games and 71% of Tamworth's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 58%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rochdale has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.47 per game. Rochdale takes 12.9 shots per game, while Tamworth takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Rochdale leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Tamworth leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rochdale's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (17 goals). For Tamworth, it is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rochdale are the clear favorite for this match, sitting in 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 29 wins this season and a +28 goal difference at home. The hosts have won 84% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 53% of their games. Tamworth are a distant 12th with a negative goal difference of -18 away from home, losing 53% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.16 goals per game. The form of both teams also favors the hosts – Rochdale have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Tamworth have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The xG stats (1.78 vs 1.32) and possession advantage (58% vs 37%) further confirm Rochdale's dominance, making a home win the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rochdale | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rochdale is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Rochdale · 1.2 pts / game - Tamworth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rochdale is 48% better for: goals scored per game.
1.95 goals / game - Rochdale · 1.32 goals / game - Tamworth
Rochdale is 118% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.76 goals / game - Rochdale · 1.66 goals / game - Tamworth
Rochdale scores in 97% of games (37 of 38 meczów), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 meczów).
Tamworth scores in 79% of games (30 of 38 meczów), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rochdale
Over / Under - Tamworth
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rochdale is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / game - Rochdale · 1.13 pts / game - Tamworth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rochdale - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 76%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rochdale
Tamworth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Rochdale | Liga | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 2.94 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 57% | • 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Rochdale's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Tamworth. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rochdale vs Tamworth?
The National League match finished Rochdale 3:2 Tamworth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rochdale vs Tamworth?
Rochdale score 1.95 goals per game on average and Tamworth 1.32. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rochdale's matches and 71% of Tamworth's.
What form are Rochdale and Tamworth in?
Over the last 5 games Rochdale have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Tamworth 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rochdale vs Tamworth?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.