France - Ligue 2Data current as of September 11, 2026

Rodez vs Bastia: match statistics

Rodez crest
Rodez
1 : 1half-time 1:1
Bastia crest
Bastia
155%(2.45)
X30%(3.34)
215%(2.80)

Rodez are in significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.6 points per game, while Bastia have managed only 0.6 points per game over the same period. The hosts hold an offensive advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.08 goals per match with an xG of 1.42, whereas Bastia have posted very poor scoring numbers in away games, failing to score in 69% of them and averaging just 0.54 goals. Bastia also have a negative goal difference away from home (-6) and a mere 8% win rate, which, combined with their 18th position in the table, highlights the team's serious issues. The high draw percentage of both teams (46% for Rodez at home and 46% for Bastia away) makes a draw a realistic possibility as well. However, the hosts' superior form and quality of play point to their victory.

Rodez vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Rodez played against Bastia in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Rodez has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Bastia has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Rodez scores 1.26 goals per game and allows 1.19. Bastia scores 0.52 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Rodez's games and 26% of Bastia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 19%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Rodez has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.23 per game. Rodez takes 11.0 shots per game, while Bastia takes 11.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Rodez leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Bastia leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.22 after halftime.

When the teams score

Rodez's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Bastia, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligue 2 games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Rodez are in significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.6 points per game, while Bastia have managed only 0.6 points per game over the same period. The hosts hold an offensive advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.08 goals per match with an xG of 1.42, whereas Bastia have posted very poor scoring numbers in away games, failing to score in 69% of them and averaging just 0.54 goals. Bastia also have a negative goal difference away from home (-6) and a mere 8% win rate, which, combined with their 18th position in the table, highlights the team's serious issues. The high draw percentage of both teams (46% for Rodez at home and 46% for Bastia away) makes a draw a realistic possibility as well. However, the hosts' superior form and quality of play point to their victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

48Possession (%)52
RodezBastia
13Shots14
RodezBastia
4Shots on target6
RodezBastia
1.43xG1.71
RodezBastia
9Corners2
RodezBastia
46Dangerous attacks56
RodezBastia
4Fouls6
RodezBastia
1Cards2
RodezBastia

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.26Goals scored / game0.52
RodezBastia
1.19Goals allowed / game1.11
RodezBastia
40%Average possession52%
RodezBastia
3.67Shots on target / game3.15
RodezBastia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.96Shots per game11.3
RodezBastia
3.67Shots on target3.15
RodezBastia
11.5%Shot conversion4.6%
RodezBastia
40%Possession52%
RodezBastia
1.28xG for1.23
RodezBastia
1.61xG against1.06
RodezBastia

Shooting quality

Rodez: BalancedBastia: Balanced
RodezBastia
Accuracy (shots on target)33%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.17

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Rodez is 333% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Rodez · 0.6 pts / game - Bastia

Rodez
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
41% W37% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-6
1.59 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-6-2
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Bastia
DDLDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
11% W41% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-11-13
0.74 pts / game · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-6-6
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DWDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 0.71BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rodez is 142% better for: goals scored per game.

1.26 goals / game - Rodez · 0.52 goals / game - Bastia

Bastia is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.19 goals / game - Rodez · 1.11 goals / game - Bastia

Rodez scoring profile: strong

Rodez scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 meczów), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 meczów).

Bastia scoring profile: mixed

Bastia scores in 37% of games (10 of 27 meczów), while Rodez keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 meczów).

34Goals scored (season)14
RodezBastia
32Goals conceded (season)30
RodezBastia
2.44Average goals per game1.63
RodezBastia
6Goals scored (last 5)3
RodezBastia
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
RodezBastia

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal37%
RodezBastia
33%2 goals15%
RodezBastia
11%3 goals0%
RodezBastia
0%4 goals0%
RodezBastia

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal63%
RodezBastia
30%2 goals37%
RodezBastia
7%3 goals11%
RodezBastia
4%4 goals0%
RodezBastia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time15%
RodezBastia
7%BTTS in both halves0%
RodezBastia
22%Scored in both halves7%
RodezBastia

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
RodezBastia
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
RodezBastia
40%BTTS - last 540%
RodezBastia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
RodezBastia
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
RodezBastia
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
RodezBastia

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time48%
RodezBastia
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time11%
RodezBastia
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
RodezBastia

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rodez is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.26 pts / game - Rodez · 0.89 pts / game - Bastia

Rodez - half-time state
22% leading59% draw19% trailing
Bastia - half-time state
15% leading44% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per game (1st half)0.89
RodezBastia
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.3
RodezBastia
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
RodezBastia
0.89Average goals (1st half)0.96
RodezBastia
63%Clean sheet before half-time52%
RodezBastia
59%No goal before half-time74%
RodezBastia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per game (2nd half)0.89
RodezBastia
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.22
RodezBastia
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
RodezBastia
1.56Average goals (2nd half)0.67
RodezBastia
41%Clean sheet after half-time63%
RodezBastia
37%No goal after half-time81%
RodezBastia

Rodez - second-half results

37% W41% D22% L
34
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding186%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bastia - second-half results

11% W56% D33% L
24
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding73%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Rodez - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.60
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.0
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Bastia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.40
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game1.20.0
Average goals per game1.60.2
1 goal80%20%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Rodez
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
6
5
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
11
46-60
5
4
61-75
13
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Bastia
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
6
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.04
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+146%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Rodez

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Bastia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).

Teams vs league

RodezLigaBastia
Average goals per game 2.442.44 1.63
Both teams scored 67%50% 26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%47% 19%
Clean sheets 22%30% 37%
Goal before half-time 59%65% 59%
Goal after half-time 85%72% 48%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / game
1.19
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. BastiaYellow cardAnthony Roncaglia
  2. BastiaSubstitutionOn: Tom DucrocqOff: Anthony Roncaglia
  3. BastiaSubstitutionOn: Christophe VincentOff: Joachim Eickmayer
  4. BastiaYellow cardAmine Boutrah

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Karim AbedMatches officiated: 13
3.46Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins38%Draws23%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Rodez's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bastia. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

SC Bastia
2 : 3
Rodez Aveyron Football

FAQ

What was the result of Rodez vs Bastia?

The Ligue 2 match finished Rodez 1:1 Bastia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rodez vs Bastia?

Rodez score 1.26 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.52. The Ligue 2 average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Rodez's matches and 26% of Bastia's.

What form are Rodez and Bastia in?

Over the last 5 games Rodez have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bastia 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rodez vs Bastia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rodez vs Bastia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.