Rodez vs Montpellier: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Rodez displays solid home form with a 55% draw rate at their own stadium and a good run in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Montpellier holds a better position in the table and a higher average ball possession (50% vs 42%), but poor away efficiency (FTS% 45%, only 0.73 goals per match). The hosts score more goals at home (1.09 vs 0.73), yet Rodez's high draw rate in home fixtures and the teams' similar xG values (1.38 vs 1.14) argue for a points split. Both teams are in positive recent form, which further increases the likelihood of a balanced match ending in a draw.
Rodez vs Montpellier: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rodez played against Montpellier in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on February 20, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Rodez has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Montpellier has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Rodez scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.35. Montpellier scores 1.22 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Rodez's games and 43% of Montpellier's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 26%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Montpellier has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.24 per game. Rodez takes 10.7 shots per game, while Montpellier takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Rodez leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Montpellier leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rodez's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Montpellier, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Rodez displays solid home form with a 55% draw rate at their own stadium and a good run in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Montpellier holds a better position in the table and a higher average ball possession (50% vs 42%), but poor away efficiency (FTS% 45%, only 0.73 goals per match). The hosts score more goals at home (1.09 vs 0.73), yet Rodez's high draw rate in home fixtures and the teams' similar xG values (1.38 vs 1.14) argue for a points split. Both teams are in positive recent form, which further increases the likelihood of a balanced match ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rodez | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rodez is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Rodez · 1.8 pts / game - Montpellier
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rodez is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Rodez · 1.22 goals / game - Montpellier
Montpellier is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.35 goals / game - Rodez · 1.04 goals / game - Montpellier
Rodez scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
Montpellier scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Rodez keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rodez
Over / Under - Montpellier
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rodez is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Rodez · 1 pts / game - Montpellier
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rodez - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Montpellier - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rodez
Montpellier
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Rodez | Liga | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.65 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Rodez's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Montpellier. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rodez vs Montpellier?
The Ligue 2 match finished Rodez 1:0 Montpellier. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rodez vs Montpellier?
Rodez score 1.30 goals per game on average and Montpellier 1.22. The Ligue 2 average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Rodez's matches and 43% of Montpellier's.
What form are Rodez and Montpellier in?
Over the last 5 games Rodez have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Montpellier 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rodez vs Montpellier?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rodez vs Montpellier: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.