Italy - Serie AData current as of October 23, 2026

Roma vs Cagliari: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Roma vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Roma plays Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 27, 2026.

Recent form

Roma has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Cagliari has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Roma scores 2.29 goals per game and allows 0.43. Cagliari scores 0.86 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.96 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 29% of Roma's games and 29% of Cagliari's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 29%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Roma has the higher season xG average, 2.02 to 1.14 per game. Roma takes 18.1 shots per game, while Cagliari takes 10.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Roma leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 1.29 goals per game after halftime. Cagliari leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Roma's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Cagliari, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.96 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.40)
(5.20)
(9.35)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.29Goals scored / game0.86
RomaCagliari
0.43Goals allowed / game1
RomaCagliari
55%Average possession41%
RomaCagliari
6Shots on target / game4
RomaCagliari

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

18.14Shots per game10.57
RomaCagliari
6Shots on target4
RomaCagliari
12.6%Shot conversion8.1%
RomaCagliari
55%Possession41%
RomaCagliari
2.02xG for1.14
RomaCagliari
1.18xG against2.04
RomaCagliari

Shooting quality

Roma: DominantCagliari: Balanced
RomaCagliari
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Roma is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Roma · 2 pts / game - Cagliari

Roma
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
71% W29% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-0
2.43 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
WWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.02Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Cagliari
WWWDL
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 away
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 2.06BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Roma is 166% better for: goals scored per game.

2.29 goals / game - Roma · 0.86 goals / game - Cagliari

Roma is 133% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.43 goals / game - Roma · 1 goals / game - Cagliari

Roma scoring profile: strong

Roma scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

Cagliari scoring profile: mixed

Cagliari scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 games).

16Goals scored (season)6
RomaCagliari
3Goals conceded (season)7
RomaCagliari
2.71Average goals per game1.86
RomaCagliari
8Goals scored (last 5)5
RomaCagliari
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
RomaCagliari

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
RomaCagliari
86%2 goals14%
RomaCagliari
29%3 goals0%
RomaCagliari
29%4 goals0%
RomaCagliari

How often they concede at least...

29%1 goal57%
RomaCagliari
14%2 goals14%
RomaCagliari
0%3 goals14%
RomaCagliari
0%4 goals14%
RomaCagliari

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time14%
RomaCagliari
0%BTTS in both halves0%
RomaCagliari
43%Scored in both halves14%
RomaCagliari

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
RomaCagliari
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
RomaCagliari
40%BTTS - last 540%
RomaCagliari

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
RomaCagliari
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
RomaCagliari
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
RomaCagliari

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
RomaCagliari
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
RomaCagliari
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
RomaCagliari

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Roma is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.14 pts / game - Roma · 1.29 pts / game - Cagliari

Roma - half-time state
57% leading43% draw0% trailing
Cagliari - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.14Points per game (1st half)1.29
RomaCagliari
1Goals scored (1st half)0.43
RomaCagliari
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
RomaCagliari
1Average goals (1st half)0.86
RomaCagliari
100%Clean sheet before half-time57%
RomaCagliari
43%No goal before half-time57%
RomaCagliari

After half-time (2nd half)

2.29Points per game (2nd half)1.57
RomaCagliari
1.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
RomaCagliari
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
RomaCagliari
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1
RomaCagliari
71%Clean sheet after half-time71%
RomaCagliari
29%No goal after half-time57%
RomaCagliari

Roma - second-half results

71% W14% D14% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cagliari - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Roma - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cagliari - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.40
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Roma
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Cagliari
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.29
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
77%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Roma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.84
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.75
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
31%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Cagliari

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

RomaLigaCagliari
Average goals per game▼ 2.712.96▼ 1.86
Both teams scored▼ 29%57%▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 57%60%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▲ 71%22%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%69%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time• 86%87%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Roma's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cagliari. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Roma and Cagliari play?

Roma face Cagliari on October 27, 2026 in Serie A. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Roma and Cagliari?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Roma won 1, Cagliari won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Roma vs Cagliari?

Roma score 2.29 goals per game on average and Cagliari 0.86. The Serie A average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Roma's matches and 29% of Cagliari's.

What form are Roma and Cagliari in?

Over the last 5 games Roma have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cagliari 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roma vs Cagliari?

The statistical background for Roma vs Cagliari — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.