Italy - Serie AStadio OlimpicoData current as of October 16, 2026

Roma vs Genoa: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Roma vs Genoa: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Roma plays Genoa in Serie A (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stadio Olimpico.

Recent form

Roma has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Genoa has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Roma scores 2.33 goals per game and allows 0.50. Genoa scores 0.83 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Roma's games and 67% of Genoa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 50%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Roma has the higher season xG average, 2.08 to 1.20 per game. Roma takes 18.7 shots per game, while Genoa takes 11.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Roma leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Genoa leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Roma's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Genoa, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.34)
(5.91)
(9.90)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.33Goals scored / game0.83
RomaGenoa
0.5Goals allowed / game1.83
RomaGenoa
54%Average possession46%
RomaGenoa
6.17Shots on target / game3.17
RomaGenoa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

18.67Shots per game11.5
RomaGenoa
6.17Shots on target3.17
RomaGenoa
12.5%Shot conversion7.2%
RomaGenoa
54%Possession46%
RomaGenoa
2.08xG for1.2
RomaGenoa
1.23xG against1.68
RomaGenoa

Shooting quality

Roma: AttackingGenoa: Balanced
RomaGenoa
Accuracy (shots on target)33%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Roma is 175% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Roma · 0.8 pts / game - Genoa

Roma
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-0
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Genoa
LLDLW
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Roma is 181% better for: goals scored per game.

2.33 goals / game - Roma · 0.83 goals / game - Genoa

Roma is 266% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Roma · 1.83 goals / game - Genoa

Roma scoring profile: very strong

Roma scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Genoa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).

Genoa scoring profile: mixed

Genoa scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 games).

14Goals scored (season)5
RomaGenoa
3Goals conceded (season)11
RomaGenoa
2.83Average goals per game2.67
RomaGenoa
10Goals scored (last 5)5
RomaGenoa
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
RomaGenoa

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal67%
RomaGenoa
83%2 goals17%
RomaGenoa
33%3 goals0%
RomaGenoa
33%4 goals0%
RomaGenoa

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal100%
RomaGenoa
17%2 goals50%
RomaGenoa
0%3 goals17%
RomaGenoa
0%4 goals17%
RomaGenoa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
RomaGenoa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
RomaGenoa
50%Scored in both halves0%
RomaGenoa

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
RomaGenoa
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
RomaGenoa
40%BTTS - last 580%
RomaGenoa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
RomaGenoa
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
RomaGenoa
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
RomaGenoa

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
RomaGenoa
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
RomaGenoa
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
RomaGenoa

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Roma is 248% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / game - Roma · 0.67 pts / game - Genoa

Roma - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
Genoa - half-time state
17% leading17% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per game (1st half)0.67
RomaGenoa
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.5
RomaGenoa
0Goals conceded (1st half)1
RomaGenoa
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.5
RomaGenoa
100%Clean sheet before half-time33%
RomaGenoa
33%No goal before half-time67%
RomaGenoa

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per game (2nd half)0.83
RomaGenoa
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
RomaGenoa
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
RomaGenoa
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.17
RomaGenoa
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
RomaGenoa
33%No goal after half-time67%
RomaGenoa

Roma - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
14
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Genoa - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Roma - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.00
Goals scored / game1.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+6+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Genoa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.00
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game1.20.6
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Roma
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Genoa
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.1 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Roma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.85
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.98
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Genoa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

RomaLigaGenoa
Average goals per game• 2.832.87▼ 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 33%60%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%57%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 67%21%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time• 67%67%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%85%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Roma's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Genoa. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Roma and Genoa play?

Roma face Genoa on October 17, 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Olimpico. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Roma and Genoa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Roma won 1, Genoa won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Roma vs Genoa?

Roma score 2.33 goals per game on average and Genoa 0.83. The Serie A average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Roma's matches and 67% of Genoa's.

What form are Roma and Genoa in?

Over the last 5 games Roma have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Genoa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roma vs Genoa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Roma vs Genoa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.