Roma vs Lecce: match statistics
Roma clearly dominates in this matchup across all key metrics. The hosts boast an impressive 64% win rate at home and a +13 goal difference in home matches, while Lecce has only a 21% win rate away and a -10 difference. Roma scores an average of 1.57 goals per game at home with an xG of 1.79, while Lecce scores only 0.71 goals away with an xG of 0.99. Moreover, the visitors fail to score in 43% of their away matches, and their recent form over the last 5 games (1.2 PPG) is weaker than the league situation demands. Roma also holds an advantage in ball possession (58% vs 39%) and has significantly better shooting accuracy. All these factors point to a decisive victory for the hosts.
Roma vs Lecce: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Roma played against Lecce in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Roma has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Lecce has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Roma scores 1.34 goals per game and allows 0.79. Lecce scores 0.72 and allows 1.34. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 34% of Roma's games and 38% of Lecce's. The Over 2.5 rates are 34% and 38%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Roma has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.08 per game. Roma takes 13.2 shots per game, while Lecce takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Roma leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Lecce leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.28 after halftime.
When the teams score
Roma's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Lecce, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Roma clearly dominates in this matchup across all key metrics. The hosts boast an impressive 64% win rate at home and a +13 goal difference in home matches, while Lecce has only a 21% win rate away and a -10 difference. Roma scores an average of 1.57 goals per game at home with an xG of 1.79, while Lecce scores only 0.71 goals away with an xG of 0.99. Moreover, the visitors fail to score in 43% of their away matches, and their recent form over the last 5 games (1.2 PPG) is weaker than the league situation demands. Roma also holds an advantage in ball possession (58% vs 39%) and has significantly better shooting accuracy. All these factors point to a decisive victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Roma | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lecce is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Roma · 1.2 pts / game - Lecce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Roma is 86% better for: goals scored per game.
1.34 goals / game - Roma · 0.72 goals / game - Lecce
Roma is 70% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.79 goals / game - Roma · 1.34 goals / game - Lecce
Roma scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 meczów).
Lecce scores in 52% of games (15 of 29 meczów), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Roma
Over / Under - Lecce
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Roma is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / game - Roma · 1.24 pts / game - Lecce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Roma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Roma
Lecce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Roma | Liga | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.14 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Roma's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Lecce. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Roma vs Lecce?
The Serie A match finished Roma 1:0 Lecce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Roma vs Lecce?
Roma score 1.34 goals per game on average and Lecce 0.72. The Serie A average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Roma's matches and 38% of Lecce's.
What form are Roma and Lecce in?
Over the last 5 games Roma have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lecce 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roma vs Lecce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Roma vs Lecce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.