Rosario Central vs Independiente: match statistics
Rosario Central vs Independiente: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rosario Central play Independiente in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Rosario Central: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rosario Central scores 1.32 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rosario Central 63%, Independiente 71%. Over 2.5: Rosario Central 53%, Independiente 41%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Rosario Central has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.48. Rosario Central: 13.4 shots per match, Independiente: 12.7.
Match halves
Rosario Central: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79. Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Rosario Central: 76-90+ (7 goals). Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Rosario Central holds a clear advantage in chance creation: at home they average 17 shots and 6 on target per match with an xG of 2.01, translating to 1.25 goals scored per match; Independiente on the road averages 11 shots and 3.38 on target with an xG of 1.37 and 1.13 goals per match. Defensively the hosts also perform better — Rosario concedes only 0.88 goals per home match (xG against 1.32), whereas Independiente concedes 1.38 goals per away match (xG against 1.49). Rosario’s form is stronger: 4 wins in the last 5 matches and an average of 2.6 points in that period, while Independiente has won 3 of the last 5 and averages 2.0 points. A clear strength for the visitors is higher shot conversion (around 10% vs 7%) and the fact that Independiente fail to score in only 13% of away matches versus 25% for the hosts, so they can be dangerous with fewer chances. Considering Rosario’s advantage in xG, shot volume, better defense and superior form, I forecast a home win; estimated probabilities are 60% Rosario, 20% draw and 20% Independiente.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rosario Central | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rosario Central is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Rosario Central · 1.4 pts / match - Independiente
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Rosario Central · 1.47 goals / match - Independiente
Rosario Central is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Rosario Central · 1.35 goals / match - Independiente
Rosario Central scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Rosario Central keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rosario Central
Over / Under — Independiente
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rosario Central is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Rosario Central · 1.24 pts / match - Independiente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rosario Central - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rosario Central
Independiente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Rosario Central | Liga | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.32 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 45% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Rosario Central 1 - 1 - 1 Independiente. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rosario Central vs Independiente?
The Primera División match finished Rosario Central 3:1 Independiente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rosario Central and Independiente?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rosario Central won 1, Independiente won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rosario Central vs Independiente?
Rosario Central score 1.32 goals per game on average and Independiente 1.47. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rosario Central's matches and 71% of Independiente's.
What form are Rosario Central and Independiente in?
Over the last 5 games Rosario Central have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Independiente 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rosario Central vs Independiente?
The statistical background for Rosario Central vs Independiente — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.