Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rot-Weiss Essen play MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Rot-Weiss Essen: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen scores 2.05 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rot-Weiss Essen 82%, MSV Duisburg 66%. Over 2.5: Rot-Weiss Essen 68%, MSV Duisburg 63%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Rot-Weiss Essen has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.52. Rot-Weiss Essen: 16.1 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 12.4.
Match halves
Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.16. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (22 goals). MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Rot-Weiss Essen averages 2.13 goals per home match, while MSV Duisburg scores 1.40 goals on the road, giving the home side an offensive advantage of 0.73 goals per game. Essen has higher home xG (xG 1.76 vs 1.34 xG for Duisburg away) and creates more chances — on average 14.93 shots with 5.93 on target, compared to the visitors' 11.13 shots and 3.73 on target; consequently the hosts have scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches versus Duisburg’s 8. In their last 5 fixtures Essen won 4 and averages 2.4 points per game, while Duisburg’s record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per game). Defensively the hosts concede 1.27 goals at home versus 1.67 conceded by the visitors away, although Duisburg have a better away clean sheet rate (47% vs 20%). Additionally the hosts have not failed to score at home (0% scoreless matches), whereas Duisburg failed to score in 33% of their away games. Therefore I assess the probabilities as approximately 65% home win, 20% draw and 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rot-Weiss Essen | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MSV Duisburg is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
2.05 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.74 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 95% of matches (36 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rot-Weiss Essen
Over / Under — MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen · 1.39 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rot-Weiss Essen
MSV Duisburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.79 | 3.21 | ▼ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rot-Weiss Essen 0 - 1 - 0 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Rot-Weiss Essen 1:0 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
Rot-Weiss Essen score 2.05 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.74. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Rot-Weiss Essen's matches and 66% of MSV Duisburg's.
What form are Rot-Weiss Essen and MSV Duisburg in?
Over the last 5 games Rot-Weiss Essen have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.