England - EFL League OneData current as of September 13, 2026

Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics

125%(4.20)
X30%(3.72)
245%(1.77)

Bolton Wanderers display significantly better form and league position (3rd place) compared to Rotherham United (22nd place). The visitors boast an impressive unbeaten streak in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and scored 12 goals in this period, whereas the hosts have won only once in their last 5 fixtures, conceding 4 goals and scoring a mere 2. Bolton dominates in terms of ball possession (61% vs 48%), shot accuracy (4.44 vs 3.78 shots on target per game), and xG (1.65 vs 1.34), which demonstrates a clear quality advantage. Rotherham has a poor home goal difference (-4) and loses every third home game, while Bolton, despite away struggles (44% draw rate), has recently shown a significant form improvement. The statistical superiority and disposition of Bolton Wanderers favor an away win, though their tendency to draw on the road and Rotherham's weaker home form could result in a tightly contested match.

Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Rotherham United played against Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

Rotherham United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Bolton Wanderers has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Rotherham United scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.37. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.47 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Rotherham United's games and 61% of Bolton Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 51% and 44%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bolton Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.21 per game. Rotherham United takes 10.5 shots per game, while Bolton Wanderers takes 16.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Rotherham United leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Bolton Wanderers leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.97 after halftime.

When the teams score

Rotherham United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Bolton Wanderers, it is minutes 76-90+ (20 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Bolton Wanderers display significantly better form and league position (3rd place) compared to Rotherham United (22nd place). The visitors boast an impressive unbeaten streak in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and scored 12 goals in this period, whereas the hosts have won only once in their last 5 fixtures, conceding 4 goals and scoring a mere 2. Bolton dominates in terms of ball possession (61% vs 48%), shot accuracy (4.44 vs 3.78 shots on target per game), and xG (1.65 vs 1.34), which demonstrates a clear quality advantage. Rotherham has a poor home goal difference (-4) and loses every third home game, while Bolton, despite away struggles (44% draw rate), has recently shown a significant form improvement. The statistical superiority and disposition of Bolton Wanderers favor an away win, though their tendency to draw on the road and Rotherham's weaker home form could result in a tightly contested match.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

37Possession (%)63
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
10Shots20
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
5Shots on target10
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
1.32xG2.3
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
7Corners6
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
45Dangerous attacks47
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
14Fouls7
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
3Cards1
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
0.94Goals scored / game1.47
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
1.37Goals allowed / game1
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
45%Average possession60%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
3.23Shots on target / game5.14
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.46Shots per game16.69
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
3.23Shots on target5.14
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
9%Shot conversion8.8%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
45%Possession60%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
1.21xG for1.83
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
1.41xG against1.1
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

Shooting quality

Rotherham United: BalancedBolton Wanderers: Dominant
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)31%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bolton Wanderers is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Rotherham United · 1.8 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers

Rotherham United
LLWDL
Season result split
26% W23% D51% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-18
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Bolton Wanderers
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
47% W36% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-13-6
1.78 pts / game · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-8-5
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bolton Wanderers is 56% better for: goals scored per game.

0.94 goals / game - Rotherham United · 1.47 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.37 goals / game - Rotherham United · 1 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Rotherham United scoring profile: strong

Rotherham United scores in 60% of games (21 of 35 meczów), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 meczów).

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Bolton Wanderers scores in 81% of games (29 of 36 meczów), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 meczów).

33Goals scored (season)53
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
48Goals conceded (season)36
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
2.31Average goals per game2.47
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
2Goals scored (last 5)12
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal81%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
26%2 goals39%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
6%3 goals17%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
3%4 goals8%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal72%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
40%2 goals22%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
17%3 goals6%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
3%4 goals0%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
Rotherham United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 35 meczów
61%
Bolton Wanderers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.22 of 36 meczów
52%
League average

Goal patterns

3%BTTS at half-time6%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
11%Scored in both halves17%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
20%BTTS - last 5100%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bolton Wanderers is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - Rotherham United · 1.28 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers

Rotherham United - half-time state
29% leading29% draw43% trailing
Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
31% leading36% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.28
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
0.94Average goals (1st half)0.92
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
54%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
69%No goal before half-time67%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)1.67
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.56
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
49%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers
60%No goal after half-time36%
Rotherham UnitedBolton Wanderers

Rotherham United - second-half results

26% W34% D40% L
40
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 26%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

42% W42% D17% L
46
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Rotherham United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.60.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bolton Wanderers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.60
Goals scored / game0.22.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.02.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-3+8
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Rotherham United
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
4
8
16-30
4
7
31-45
7
10
46-60
7
7
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
7
4
16-30
6
8
31-45
7
8
46-60
8
7
61-75
20
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Rotherham United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Rotherham UnitedLigaBolton Wanderers
Average goals per game 2.312.61 2.47
Both teams scored 43%52% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 51%50% 44%
Clean sheets 23%27% 28%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 64%
Goal after half-time 74%80% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.11
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Bolton WanderersYellow cardEthan Erhahon
  2. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Thierry GaleOff: Corey Taylor
  3. Rotherham UnitedYellow cardJoe Rafferty
  4. Rotherham UnitedGoalSamuel Tshiayima Nombe
  5. Rotherham UnitedGoalSamuel Tshiayima NombeAssist: Ar'jany Martha
  6. Rotherham UnitedYellow cardBrandon Cover
  7. Bolton WanderersGoalChris Forino-JosephAssist: Johnny Kenny
  8. Rotherham UnitedYellow cardTed Cann
  9. Rotherham UnitedSubstitutionOn: Josh BensonOff: Joe Rafferty
  10. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Cyrus ChristieOff: Jordi Osei-Tutu
  11. Rotherham UnitedSubstitutionOn: Duncan WatmoreOff: Ar'jany Martha
  12. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Robert ApterOff: Max Conway
  13. Bolton WanderersGoalSamuel George DalbyAssist: Johnny Kenny

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Rotherham United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bolton Wanderers. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers?

The EFL League One match finished Rotherham United 2:2 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Rotherham United score 0.94 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.47. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rotherham United's matches and 61% of Bolton Wanderers's.

What form are Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.