Rotherham United vs Northampton Town: match statistics
Rotherham United, despite a difficult run of form in the last five matches (0 wins), presents solid statistics at home with a goal difference of -2 and 31% of home matches won. Northampton Town has very weak results away (23% wins, 62% losses) and the worst FTS% at 54%, indicating frequent problems scoring goals. The hosts possess an advantage in the average number of shots on target (3.92 vs 2.54) and a better conversion rate (11% vs 8%). Northampton concedes an average of 1.54 goals away with an xGA of 1.67, which, given Rotherham's expected goals (xGF 1.35), suggests a chance for the hosts to score. Considering the home field advantage and significantly better offensive statistics for Rotherham in home matches, the hosts have a real chance to break their bad streak, although the weak form of recent weeks and defensive problems of both teams could also lead to a draw.
Rotherham United vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rotherham United played against Northampton Town in EFL League One (England). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Rotherham United has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Northampton Town has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Rotherham United scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 1.50. Northampton Town scores 0.88 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Rotherham United's games and 38% of Northampton Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 38%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rotherham United has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.11 per game. Rotherham United takes 10.0 shots per game, while Northampton Town takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Rotherham United leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Northampton Town leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rotherham United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Northampton Town, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rotherham United, despite a difficult run of form in the last five matches (0 wins), presents solid statistics at home with a goal difference of -2 and 31% of home matches won. Northampton Town has very weak results away (23% wins, 62% losses) and the worst FTS% at 54%, indicating frequent problems scoring goals. The hosts possess an advantage in the average number of shots on target (3.92 vs 2.54) and a better conversion rate (11% vs 8%). Northampton concedes an average of 1.54 goals away with an xGA of 1.67, which, given Rotherham's expected goals (xGF 1.35), suggests a chance for the hosts to score. Considering the home field advantage and significantly better offensive statistics for Rotherham in home matches, the hosts have a real chance to break their bad streak, although the weak form of recent weeks and defensive problems of both teams could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rotherham United | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Northampton Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Rotherham United · 0.4 pts / game - Northampton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rotherham United is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
0.96 goals / game - Rotherham United · 0.88 goals / game - Northampton Town
Northampton Town is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Rotherham United · 1.23 goals / game - Northampton Town
Rotherham United scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
Northampton Town scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rotherham United
Over / Under - Northampton Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rotherham United is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - Rotherham United · 0.77 pts / game - Northampton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 23%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rotherham United
Northampton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Rotherham United | Liga | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.46 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rotherham United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Northampton Town. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rotherham United vs Northampton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Rotherham United 2:1 Northampton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs Northampton Town?
Rotherham United score 0.96 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.88. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rotherham United's matches and 38% of Northampton Town's.
What form are Rotherham United and Northampton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Northampton Town 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs Northampton Town?
The statistical background for Rotherham United vs Northampton Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.