Rouen vs Aubagne: match statistics
Rouen vs Aubagne: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rouen played against Aubagne in National (France). The game was played on April 24, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Rouen has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Aubagne has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Rouen scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 0.86. Aubagne scores 1.14 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 2.39 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Rouen's games and 61% of Aubagne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 46%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rouen has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.25 per game. Rouen takes 11.1 shots per game, while Aubagne takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Rouen leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Aubagne leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rouen's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Aubagne, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National games average 2.39 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rouen holds a clear advantage in the table and defensively — they sit 4th, have scored 37 and conceded 24 this season, while Aubagne are 11th with 32 scored and 39 conceded. At home Rouen concedes on average 0.71 goals per game, keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches, produces average xG 1.44 and averages 12.07 shots (4.07 on target) with an 11% conversion rate. Aubagne away averages 9.86 shots (4.36 on target) with average xG 1.22, but concedes 1.29 goals per game and fail to score in 43% of away matches; in the last 5 games the visitors conceded 8 goals versus Rouen’s 5. Recent 5-game forms are similar (Rouen 1.2 points on average, Aubagne 1.0), yet Rouen’s defensive edge and much lower share of scoreless matches (21% vs 43%) indicate home control. Based on this I assess chances at 63% for Rouen, 20% for a draw and 17% for Aubagne.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Rouen has a seasonal BTTS rate of 79% with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match and only 7% clean sheets, strongly indicating goals from both sides. Aubagne has a seasonal BTTS of 43%, but in the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in 60% of cases, while Aubagne conceded on average 1.6 goals (8 conceded in 5 matches) and has a recent xG against of 1.93, indicating defensive vulnerability. Both teams generate similar seasonal xG (1.29 for Rouen vs 1.22 for Aubagne) and in the last 5 matches 1.35 vs 1.32, with almost 10 shots per game on average (9.79 vs 9.86), which supports goals from both sides. Considering the dominant Rouen signal (79% BTTS) along with high recent BTTS rates (60% for both) and Aubagne’s weaker defense, the "BTTS - Yes" option appears more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG yields expected goals of 1.37 for Rouen (attacking xG 1.29 vs opponent xG conceded 1.44) and 1.34 for Aubagne (attacking xG 1.22 vs opponent xG conceded 1.46), totaling 2.71 goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.71 indicates P(>1.5) ≈75%, P(>2.5) ≈51% and P(>3.5) ≈29%. Seasonal rates reinforce the signal for Over 1.5: Rouen had Over1.5 in 86% of matches, Aubagne in 79% (average 82.5%), so the final forecast for Over1.5 is set at 82%. Over 2.5 is more balanced – Rouen only 29% of matches above 2.5, Aubagne 64%, and in the last 5 matches both teams recorded 40% Over2.5, hence the Over2.5 forecast ≈51%. The strongest play is Over 1.5 (line 1.5) due to the expected total of 2.71 goals, the high share of Over1.5 matches and Rouen’s low clean sheet rate (7%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict the away team will lead at half-time and win the match (2/2). The home side trailed at half-time in 57% of matches and led in only 7%, strongly indicating Rouen rarely initiates the lead. Away teams score an average of 0.50 goals by half-time versus 0.21 for hosts, while the hosts concede an average of 0.86 goals before the break, so the likelihood of Aubagne leading at half-time is significant. In full time the away side wins 43% of matches versus 14% for the hosts; additionally they register more shots on target (4.36 vs 3.64) and have better finishing (13% vs 10%), which increases the probability of maintaining the lead. Although xG shows relatively similar chance creation (xG 1.29 for the hosts versus 1.22 for the away team), Rouen’s low conversion and their frequent falling behind at half-time support the 2/2 Half-Time/Full-Time scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rouen | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rouen is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Rouen · 1 pts / game - Aubagne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rouen is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Rouen · 1.14 goals / game - Aubagne
Rouen is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.86 goals / game - Rouen · 1.39 goals / game - Aubagne
Rouen scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 meczów), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
Aubagne scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Rouen keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rouen
Over / Under - Aubagne
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rouen is 95% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / game - Rouen · 0.79 pts / game - Aubagne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rouen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rouen
Aubagne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Rouen | Liga | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.18 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 47% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Rouen's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Aubagne. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rouen vs Aubagne?
The National match finished Rouen 3:1 Aubagne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rouen vs Aubagne?
Rouen score 1.32 goals per game on average and Aubagne 1.14. The National average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Rouen's matches and 61% of Aubagne's.
What form are Rouen and Aubagne in?
Over the last 5 games Rouen have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Aubagne 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rouen vs Aubagne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rouen vs Aubagne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.