Rouen vs Caen: match statistics
Rouen demonstrates significantly better home form with a 54% win rate at home and an impressive 54% clean sheet record. The hosts are 3rd in the table and have a positive goal difference (+8) in home matches, while Caen has only an 8% win rate away from home and not a single clean sheet. The visitors' form is alarming – in their last 5 matches, they have averaged only 0.2 points per game, losing 4 out of 5 matches. Rouen averages 1.31 goals scored per home game, conceding only 0.69, which, against Caen's weak defense (conceding 1.67 goals on average away), gives the hosts a clear advantage. Despite Rouen's slightly poorer recent form (1.2 points in the last 5 matches), the class difference between the two teams in a home context is significant enough to favor the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario as well.
Rouen vs Caen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rouen play Caen in National (France). The match date is 27 March 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rouen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Caen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rouen scores 1.34 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Caen scores 1.22 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rouen 63%, Caen 56%. Over 2.5: Rouen 47%, Caen 41%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Rouen has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.37. Rouen: 11.7 shots per match, Caen: 11.2.
Match halves
Rouen: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Caen: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Rouen: 76-90+ (11 goals). Caen: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Rouen demonstrates significantly better home form with a 54% win rate at home and an impressive 54% clean sheet record. The hosts are 3rd in the table and have a positive goal difference (+8) in home matches, while Caen has only an 8% win rate away from home and not a single clean sheet. The visitors' form is alarming – in their last 5 matches, they have averaged only 0.2 points per game, losing 4 out of 5 matches. Rouen averages 1.31 goals scored per home game, conceding only 0.69, which, against Caen's weak defense (conceding 1.67 goals on average away), gives the hosts a clear advantage. Despite Rouen's slightly poorer recent form (1.2 points in the last 5 matches), the class difference between the two teams in a home context is significant enough to favor the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario as well.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rouen | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caen is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Rouen · 2 pts / match - Caen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rouen is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Rouen · 1.22 goals / match - Caen
Rouen is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Rouen · 1.06 goals / match - Caen
Rouen scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Caen scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Rouen keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rouen
Over / Under — Caen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rouen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rouen
Caen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Rouen | Liga | Caen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rouen 0 - 1 - 0 Caen. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rouen vs Caen?
The National match finished Rouen 1:1 Caen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rouen vs Caen?
Rouen score 1.34 goals per game on average and Caen 1.22. The National average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rouen's matches and 56% of Caen's.
What form are Rouen and Caen in?
Over the last 5 games Rouen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Caen 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rouen vs Caen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rouen vs Caen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.