Rouen vs Cannes: match statistics

Cannes are showing significantly better current form: they have won 4, drawn 1 and lost none of their last five matches, scoring 14 goals. Over the same period, Rouen recorded just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with only 4 goals to their name. The visitors are averaging 2.8 goals per game across their last five fixtures, compared with just 0.8 for the hosts, clearly highlighting Cannes’ superior attacking efficiency. Rouen have conceded 6 goals, while Cannes have conceded 8; however, the visitors’ higher number of goals conceded is partly a result of their more open style of play, which has yielded as many as 2.6 points per game compared with Rouen’s 1.0. League position provides an additional argument: Cannes sit 6th, while Rouen are 14th. Therefore, an away win is the most likely outcome.

The signal for both teams to score is driven primarily by recent form: BTTS occurred in 60% of Rouen’s five matches and in as many as 80% of Cannes’ games. Cannes averaged 2.8 goals per match during this period, while Rouen conceded 1.2, which clearly supports the visitors finding the net. The hosts scored only 4 goals in five matches, or 0.8 per game, but their average xG stands at 1.40, while Cannes allow opponents 0.80 xG. Cannes conceded 8 goals in their last 5 appearances, averaging 1.6, so despite Rouen’s weaker finishing, they have a realistic route to scoring. The edge is not significant due to the hosts’ low goal output, but Cannes’ high scoring rate and 80% BTTS provide a slight indication towards BTTS - Yes.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as Cannes scored an average of 2.8 goals in their last five matches, while Rouen conceded 1.2 goals per game. Cannes averaged 1.92 xG during this period, whereas the average xG against Rouen was 1.10, supporting the prospect of at least two goals in the match. Rouen scored only 0.8 goals per game, but Cannes’ defense conceded an average of 1.6 goals, meaning the hosts have a realistic chance of adding a goal of their own. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Cannes’ last five matches, but in only 40% of Rouen’s, making the 2.5 line clearly riskier than Over 1.5.

Cannes are in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.8 goals and remaining unbeaten during this period, while Rouen have won just 1 match and scored 0.8 goals per game. Rouen have failed to score before half-time in each of their last five appearances and were trailing at the break in 60% of them. Cannes, however, have led at half-time only once, with 60% of their matches level at the interval. This supports the scenario of an evenly contested opening, especially as the hosts conceded an average of just 0.6 goals before the break. After half-time, Cannes' advantage increases: they averaged 2.0 goals, won the second half in all 5 of their last matches and recorded a +7 goal difference over those periods. Rouen scored only 0.8 goals after the break, making a draw at half-time followed by a Cannes victory at the final whistle the strongest HT/FT option: X/2.