ROW Rybnik vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec: match statistics

ROW Rybnik are showing clearly stronger current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 3, while Zagłębie Sosnowiec have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The hosts won their only home match, averaging 5 goals from 20 shots and 10 shots on target, with a high average xG of 2.54. Zagłębie drew 0:0 away, failed to score, and their percentage of goalless matches stands at 100% in such fixtures, although they did keep a clean sheet. ROW’s defense is not flawless, as they allow opponents an xG of 1.84 and have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, which increases the visitors’ chances of securing a draw. However, the hosts’ superiority in chance creation, finishing efficiency and recent results momentum points to a ROW Rybnik victory.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Zagłębie’s away performances: the team is yet to score an away goal and has failed to find the net in 100% of such matches. ROW have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home games, while allowing opponents an average xG of just 0.91. The hosts have been highly productive across their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals, whereas Zagłębie have conceded only 0.4 goals per game during this period—favouring a one-sided result rather than an open exchange of goals. Although Zagłębie’s away xG over their last five matches stands at 1.60, their BTTS rate during this period is 0%, while ROW concede an average of only 0.6 goals. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team—primarily the visitors—will fail to score.

ROW Rybnik are in very good offensive form: they have scored an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches, while their average xG stood at 1.54. At the same time, the hosts have conceded just 0.6 goals per game and allowed their opponents only 0.84 xG, which limits Zagłębie’s attacking potential, as they averaged 1.0 goal during this period. Sosnowiec also boast a solid defense, conceding an average of 0.4 goals in their last five appearances, with only 20% of those matches going over the 2.5-goal line. Although the league average of 3.11 goals is higher than the projected total of 2.33, the matchup between these two defensive units points to a controlled scoreline. The strongest signal is on Under 3.5, as a four-goal-plus game would require a clear deviation from both teams’ recent defensive metrics.

ROW Rybnik are showing clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, while Zagłębie have won 40% of their games and lost 40%. The hosts are particularly solid before the break, having conceded no first-half goals in their last five matches, although as many as 67% of those games were level at half-time. Zagłębie were trailing after 45 minutes in 40% of their recent appearances, and their average number of goals scored before the break is just 0.4, compared with 0.67 for ROW Rybnik. After the interval, Rybnik average 1.67 goals, with at least one goal being scored in the second half in 100% of their last matches. The most likely scenario is therefore an even opening, followed by the hosts using their superior quality and attacking edge to secure a full-time victory.