Rudeš vs Jarun: match statistics
Rudeš vs Jarun: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rudeš played against Jarun in Druga HNL (Croatia). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Rudeš has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Jarun has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Rudeš scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 0.92. Jarun scores 1.13 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Rudeš's games and 54% of Jarun's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 42%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rudeš has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.16 per game. Rudeš takes 10.3 shots per game, while Jarun takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Rudeš leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Jarun leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rudeš's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Jarun, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Druga HNL games average 2.20 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Rudeš wins 75% of matches at home, draws 17% and loses only 8%, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded at home with a +12 goal difference. Jarun away has just an 8% win rate, scores 0.83 goals and concedes 1.58 on average, carries a -9 goal difference and fails to score in 42% of away matches. The quality gap in chances is clear: home xG is 1.55 versus 1.11 for the visitors, shots on target 4.42 vs 3.25 and possession 55% vs 42%, indicating greater control and more clear-cut opportunities for Rudeš. Additionally, the hosts record 67% clean sheets at home and averaged 2.0 points per game in the last 5 matches versus 1.4 for Jarun, hence the 75% probability for a home win, 17% for a draw and 8% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No BTTS: 57% vs 43%. Home side Rudeš average 1.42 goals per game (xG 1.22), 9.17 shots and a 15% conversion rate, while Jarun manage only 0.83 goals per game (xG 1.11), 8.17 shots and a 10% conversion. Defensively Jarun concede 1.58 goals per game, but Rudeš concede 0.92 seasonally and keep a clean sheet in 33% of matches; in the last 5 fixtures the home side concede just 0.6 goals (3 in 5), and their recent BTTS rate is only 20%. Season BTTS rates show 50% for Rudeš and 58% for Jarun, with league BTTS at 42%, while a Poisson estimate from xG (1.22 vs 1.11) gives about a 47% chance of both teams scoring. Considering the home side’s offensive edge and their improved defense over the last 5 matches, I assign a slight advantage to the 'no' scenario (57%) over 'yes' (43%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams record Over 1.5 in 75% of matches this season, which is a strong signal. I expect 1.46 goals for Rudeš (home xG 1.22 vs. xG conceded by Jarun 1.69 → average ≈1.46) and 1.23 for Jarun (away xG 1.11 vs. xG conceded by Rudeš 1.34 → ≈1.23), totalling 2.69 expected goals. With a total of 2.69, the probability of over 1.5 is about 75%, while over 2.5 is close to 50%. Additionally, the home side scores on average 1.42 goals this season and the visitors concede on average 1.58 goals, which further favors more goals, so the best and strongest data-driven play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts led at the break in 6 of 12 matches (50%) and have won 42% of their matches over the season (about 5 of 12), which suggests that a lead at the break often translates into a win — approximately 5 out of 6 such cases (83%). In the second half the hosts score on average 0.83 goals and earn on average 1.5 points after the break, while the visitors score only 0.25 goals and collect around 0.58 points after the break, so the hosts are clearly stronger after the interval. Additionally, the hosts generate 1.22 xG from 9.17 shots with a 15% conversion rate, whereas the visitors’ defense concedes 1.69 xG and the visitors concede on average 1.58 goals per match compared to 0.92 conceded by the hosts. Supporting the scenario of holding a lead through to full-time is also the high percentage of hosts keeping a clean half-time sheet — 75% — and a low average goals conceded by half-time of 0.33. For these reasons the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/1 (42%), with alternative scenarios being half-time draw and full-time draw (X/X ~25%) and the hosts leading and the visitors winning (2/2 ~17%) as less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rudeš | Jarun | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rudeš is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Rudeš · 1.4 pts / game - Jarun
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rudeš is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Rudeš · 1.13 goals / game - Jarun
Rudeš is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.92 goals / game - Rudeš · 1.25 goals / game - Jarun
Rudeš scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Jarun keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Jarun scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while Rudeš keeps a clean sheet in 58% (14 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rudeš
Over / Under - Jarun
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rudeš is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / game - Rudeš · 1.54 pts / game - Jarun
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rudeš - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Jarun - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rudeš
Jarun
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Druga HNL).
Teams vs league
| Rudeš | Liga | Jarun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.21 | 2.20 | ▲ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 41% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 34% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Rudeš's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Jarun. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rudeš vs Jarun?
The Druga HNL match finished Rudeš 1:0 Jarun. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rudeš and Jarun?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rudeš won 0, Jarun won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rudeš vs Jarun?
Rudeš score 1.29 goals per game on average and Jarun 1.13. The Druga HNL average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Rudeš's matches and 54% of Jarun's.
What form are Rudeš and Jarun in?
Over the last 5 games Rudeš have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Jarun 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rudeš vs Jarun?
The statistical background for Rudeš vs Jarun — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.