Rustavi vs Gagra: match statistics
Rustavi presents definitely better form and efficiency in home matches, maintaining a 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets at home. The hosts have a higher xG (1.67 vs 0.99) and better chance conversion, indicating an offensive advantage. Gagra is in terrible form with just 0.2 points per match in their last five games and no away wins this season. Additionally, the visitors conceded as many as 9 goals in their last 5 matches, which highlights serious defensive problems. Considering Rustavi's dominance at their home stadium and Gagra's poor disposition, I strongly favor a home win, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to Rustavi's low goal average in home matches.
Rustavi vs Gagra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rustavi play Gagra in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Rustavi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Gagra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rustavi scores 1.16 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Gagra scores 0.95 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rustavi 53%, Gagra 58%. Over 2.5: Rustavi 47%, Gagra 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Gagra has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.34. Rustavi: 10.6 shots per match, Gagra: 10.3.
Match halves
Rustavi: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.63. Gagra: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Rustavi: 76-90+ (6 goals). Gagra: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Rustavi presents definitely better form and efficiency in home matches, maintaining a 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets at home. The hosts have a higher xG (1.67 vs 0.99) and better chance conversion, indicating an offensive advantage. Gagra is in terrible form with just 0.2 points per match in their last five games and no away wins this season. Additionally, the visitors conceded as many as 9 goals in their last 5 matches, which highlights serious defensive problems. Considering Rustavi's dominance at their home stadium and Gagra's poor disposition, I strongly favor a home win, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to Rustavi's low goal average in home matches.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rustavi | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gagra is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Rustavi · 2.2 pts / match - Gagra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rustavi is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Rustavi · 0.95 goals / match - Gagra
Rustavi is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Rustavi · 1.26 goals / match - Gagra
Rustavi scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Gagra scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rustavi
Over / Under — Gagra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Rustavi · 0.89 pts / match - Gagra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rustavi
Gagra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rustavi | Liga | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 28% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rustavi 0 - 1 - 0 Gagra. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rustavi vs Gagra?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Rustavi 1:2 Gagra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rustavi vs Gagra?
Rustavi score 1.16 goals per game on average and Gagra 0.95. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Rustavi's matches and 58% of Gagra's.
What form are Rustavi and Gagra in?
Over the last 5 games Rustavi have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Gagra 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rustavi vs Gagra?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.