Rustavi vs Saburtalo: match statistics
Rustavi vs Saburtalo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rustavi played against Saburtalo in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Rustavi has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Saburtalo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Rustavi scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 0.75. Saburtalo scores 1.50 and allows 0.63. Games in this league average 2.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Rustavi's games and 38% of Saburtalo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rustavi has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.28 per game. Rustavi takes 11.8 shots per game, while Saburtalo takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Rustavi leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Saburtalo leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rustavi's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Saburtalo, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Erovnuli Liga games average 2.14 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Saburtalo are favorites based on form and goals scored: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that period, averaging 2.6 points per game compared to Rustavi’s 1.6. The hosts have strong home statistics — 67% home win rate, 1.67 goals per home game, only 0.67 goals conceded at home and clean sheets in 67% of home matches, with 0% of home games without scoring. Saburtalo are, however, more efficient in the opponent’s box: shot conversion rate 20% versus the hosts’ 14% and 12 goals this season against Rustavi’s 9. Chance statistics are similar — Rustavi averages 11.67 shots (4.67 on target) at home, while Saburtalo average 8.75 shots (4.25 on target); xG shows a slight edge for the hosts (1.46 vs 1.22), i.e. more created chances but lower finishing. Considering the visitors’ better form and efficiency combined with the hosts’ solid defensive conditions, I back a Saburtalo victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assign 60% to BTTS (Yes) and 40% to No Goal, because both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in their last 5 matches. Saburtalo averages 2.2 goals in the last five fixtures versus Rustavi's 1.4; in that period Saburtalo scored 11 goals and Rustavi 7, which increases the likelihood of Goal/Goal. Both sides concede an average of 0.8 goals in the last 5 matches, and Rustavi has a season xG_for of 1.33 vs xG_against_away 1.29, while Saburtalo has a season average goals scored of 1.75 and a conversion rate of 20%, so both teams have realistic scoring potential. Against this are season clean sheet rates of 50% for both teams and a high league clean sheet percentage of 70% and Saburtalo’s season BTTS at 25%, therefore certainty is not absolute and I give a moderate edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model incorporating seasonal xG (1.33 for Rustavi and 1.22 for Saburtalo) and form from the last 5 matches forecasts 1.37 xG for Rustavi and 1.32 xG for Saburtalo, totaling 2.69 expected goals. This is above the league average of 2.15 and consistent with recent results, where Rustavi averaged 1.4 goals per game and Saburtalo 2.2 goals in the last 5 rounds. Seasonal percentages show Saburtalo has over 1.5 in 75% of matches, Rustavi in 50%, and both teams exceed 2.5 in 50% of matches this season; in the last 5 matches the over 2.5 rates are 60% (Rustavi) and 80% (Saburtalo). A Poisson estimate for a mean of 2.69 yields roughly a 75% chance of over 1.5 goals, about 51% for Over 2.5 goals and only around 28% for Over 3.5 goals, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally, Saburtalo converts shots to goals more efficiently (20% vs 14%) and scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches compared to Rustavi’s 7, which increases the likelihood of goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select 2/2 (away team leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) as the most likely scenario: Saburtalo led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and won 4 of their last 5 fixtures (80%), and have a 75% win rate this season. Despite a similar xG (1.33 for Rustavi vs 1.22 for Saburtalo), the visitors are more efficient — a shot conversion rate of 20% versus 14% for the hosts, with nearly identical shot volumes (9.0 vs 8.75) and 4.25 shots on target. Half-Time statistics further favor Saburtalo: over the last 5 matches they averaged 1.4 goals by the break compared to 0.6 for Rustavi, a cumulative Half-Time goal tally of 8 vs 3, and an average goals conceded before the break of only 0.2 for the away side. Saburtalo also perform better after the break — the goal difference in second halves is +2.0 for the visitors versus -1.0 for the hosts, and average points in second halves are 1.75 for Saburtalo vs 1.0 for Rustavi; therefore I assign the largest share of probability at 45% to 2/2, with a significant 15% to X/2 and 10% to 2/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rustavi | Saburtalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Saburtalo is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Rustavi · 2.6 pts / game - Saburtalo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saburtalo is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Rustavi · 1.5 goals / game - Saburtalo
Saburtalo is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Rustavi · 0.63 goals / game - Saburtalo
Rustavi scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Saburtalo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 meczów).
Saburtalo scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rustavi
Over / Under - Saburtalo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / game - Rustavi · 2 pts / game - Saburtalo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 38%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Saburtalo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rustavi
Saburtalo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rustavi | Liga | Saburtalo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.88 | 2.14 | • 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Rustavi vs Saburtalo?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Rustavi 2:1 Saburtalo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rustavi vs Saburtalo?
Rustavi score 1.13 goals per game on average and Saburtalo 1.50. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rustavi's matches and 38% of Saburtalo's.
What form are Rustavi and Saburtalo in?
Over the last 5 games Rustavi have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Saburtalo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rustavi vs Saburtalo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rustavi vs Saburtalo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.