Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi: match statistics

Rustavi are highly effective at home, winning 78% of such matches, recording no draws, and averaging 1.56 goals per game. The hosts are also in clearly better current form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring 7 goals in that run, while Torpedo Kutaisi have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats. Rustavi’s home defense concedes just 0.78 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in 56% of games, whereas the visitors concede an average of 1.00 goals away from home and prevent the opposition from scoring in only 22% of matches. Torpedo create slightly more chances, averaging 11 shots and 4.44 on target away from home compared with Rustavi’s 9.89 and 3.56, but their away xG against is a high 1.48. The hosts’ advantage in form, defensive organization, and home results points to a narrow victory.

BTTS - Yes is more likely, as the seasonal percentage of matches in which both teams scored stands at 60% for Rustavi and 56% for Torpedo, at or above the league average of 56%. Rustavi score an average of 1.70 goals per match, while Torpedo average 1.44, with similar xG figures of 1.50 and 1.37, respectively. The visitors’ current defensive form is particularly significant: over their last five matches, they conceded an average of 2.0 goals and allowed opponents 1.72 xG. Torpedo remain dangerous in attack, however, scoring 1.8 goals per match in their last five outings, while Rustavi conceded 5 goals during this period. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 40% of matches, but Torpedo do so in only 22%, reinforcing the scenario that both sides will find the net.

Rustavi average 1.70 goals per match, while Torpedo Kutaisi average 1.44, with both teams conceding 1.00 goal per game on average. The xG profile also points to at least two goals: the hosts create chances worth 1.50 xG, while the visitors generate 1.37 xG, and Torpedo’s defense allows an average of 1.48 xG. The Over 1.5 goals line has landed in 70% of Rustavi’s matches and 67% of Torpedo’s, while in their last five matches, the visitors recorded at least three goals in 100% of games. Rustavi kept a clean sheet in 40% of matches, but Torpedo did so in only 22%, further supporting the likelihood of surpassing the low line. Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, as it combines the high consistency of both teams with a projected 2.93 goals in the match.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Rustavi win, as the hosts were level at the break in 5 of their 10 matches, and in as many as 80% of their last five. Rustavi clearly improves after the interval, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while winning the second half in 80% of their last five appearances. Torpedo has a weaker first-half record over the course of the season, taking the lead in only 11% of matches and averaging 0.33 goals scored before the break, although their recent form in the opening stages increases the risk of a scenario with the visitors leading. Over the full match, Rustavi's advantage is also supported by their better current run: 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 2.4 points per game compared with Torpedo's 1.4. The hosts also have more favourable chance-quality metrics, with an xG of 1.50 versus their opponents' 1.37, while Torpedo have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last five matches.