Rutsiro vs Bugesera: match statistics
Rutsiro vs Bugesera: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rutsiro play Bugesera in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Rutsiro: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bugesera: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rutsiro scores 0.88 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rutsiro 53%, Bugesera 41%. Over 2.5: Rutsiro 47%, Bugesera 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Rutsiro has higher xG: 1.12 vs 0.91. Rutsiro: 6.7 shots per match, Bugesera: 5.2.
Match halves
Rutsiro: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.50. Bugesera: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Rutsiro: 46-60 (7 goals). Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win for Rutsiro: their average home xG is 1.24 versus 0.86 xG for Bugesera on the road, and the hosts average 8.86 shots per game with 3.36 on target versus 5.67 and 2.25 for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Rutsiro scored 5 goals and have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses with an average of 1.4 points per game, while Bugesera scored 3 goals and have 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses with an average of 0.2 points per game. Defensively the teams are similar: Rutsiro concedes 1.38 goals on average at home, and Bugesera concedes 1.31 goals away, but the opponents’ xG against Bugesera is 1.49 (vs 1.21 for Rutsiro), which suggests Bugesera allows more dangerous chances. However, Rutsiro has a higher share of home matches without scoring (44% vs 38% for Bugesera away) and a low home win rate (only 13%), so a draw is a realistic outcome. Considering Rutsiro’s edge in xG (1.24 vs 0.86), shot volume (8.86 vs 5.67) and better form over the last five (1.4 pts vs 0.2 pts), I give a slight advantage to the hosts, but I also expect a low-scoring game with a significant probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rutsiro | Bugesera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bugesera is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Rutsiro · 1 goals / match - Bugesera
Bugesera is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Rutsiro · 1.15 goals / match - Bugesera
Rutsiro scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rutsiro
Over / Under — Bugesera
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rutsiro
Bugesera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Rutsiro | Liga | Bugesera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.26 | 2.12 | • 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rutsiro 1 - 0 - 0 Bugesera. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rutsiro vs Bugesera?
The National Soccer League match finished Rutsiro 0:2 Bugesera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rutsiro vs Bugesera?
Rutsiro score 0.88 goals per game on average and Bugesera 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Rutsiro's matches and 41% of Bugesera's.
What form are Rutsiro and Bugesera in?
Over the last 5 games Rutsiro have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bugesera 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rutsiro vs Bugesera?
The statistical background for Rutsiro vs Bugesera — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.