Rutsiro vs Etincelles: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Rutsiro sits 18th in the table with very poor home form (11% win rate, 56% loss rate), although their overall last 5 games show stabilization (1.0 PPG). Etincelles, in 16th place, presents much better current form (1.8 PPG in their last 5 matches, an undefeated streak), but their away record is weak (10% win rate, 50% draws). A key factor is the visitors' very good recent form (wwddd) contrasted with the hosts' poor home disposition. Expected goals (xG) are close for both teams, confirming evenly matched offensive strength. Considering Rutsiro's defensive issues at home (averaging 1.78 goals conceded) and Etincelles' defensive stability in recent matches (0.6 goals conceded in their last 5 games), I predict a cautious, tactical match ending in a sharing of points.
Rutsiro vs Etincelles: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rutsiro played against Etincelles in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Rutsiro has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Etincelles has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Rutsiro scores 1.09 goals per game and allows 1.50. Etincelles scores 0.74 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Rutsiro's games and 57% of Etincelles's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 26%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Etincelles has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.14 per game. Rutsiro takes 6.7 shots per game, while Etincelles takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Rutsiro leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Etincelles leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rutsiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Etincelles, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.09 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Rutsiro sits 18th in the table with very poor home form (11% win rate, 56% loss rate), although their overall last 5 games show stabilization (1.0 PPG). Etincelles, in 16th place, presents much better current form (1.8 PPG in their last 5 matches, an undefeated streak), but their away record is weak (10% win rate, 50% draws). A key factor is the visitors' very good recent form (wwddd) contrasted with the hosts' poor home disposition. Expected goals (xG) are close for both teams, confirming evenly matched offensive strength. Considering Rutsiro's defensive issues at home (averaging 1.78 goals conceded) and Etincelles' defensive stability in recent matches (0.6 goals conceded in their last 5 games), I predict a cautious, tactical match ending in a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rutsiro | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Etincelles is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Rutsiro · 1.8 pts / game - Etincelles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rutsiro is 47% better for: goals scored per game.
1.09 goals / game - Rutsiro · 0.74 goals / game - Etincelles
Etincelles is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Rutsiro · 1.13 goals / game - Etincelles
Rutsiro scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
Etincelles scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rutsiro
Over / Under - Etincelles
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Etincelles is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / game - Rutsiro · 1.13 pts / game - Etincelles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rutsiro
Etincelles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Rutsiro | Liga | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.59 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 33% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Rutsiro's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Etincelles. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rutsiro vs Etincelles?
The National Soccer League match finished Rutsiro 0:0 Etincelles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rutsiro vs Etincelles?
Rutsiro score 1.09 goals per game on average and Etincelles 0.74. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Rutsiro's matches and 57% of Etincelles's.
What form are Rutsiro and Etincelles in?
Over the last 5 games Rutsiro have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Etincelles 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rutsiro vs Etincelles?
The statistical background for Rutsiro vs Etincelles — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.