Rutsiro vs Marines: match statistics
Marines appear to be the clear favorite for this meeting. Rutsiro occupies the last, 18th place in the table with disastrous home form – zero home wins this season (0% Win%) and as many as 63% losses. The hosts have earned just 0.4 points per match in their last five games and have not won any of them. Marines, despite playing away, present significantly better disposition – 30% away wins, a better goal difference (-1 vs -6 for the hosts), and higher xG indicators (1.39 vs 1.26). Additionally, the guests have obtained 1.2 points per match in their last five games, which is three times better than Rutsiro. Considering all statistics, Marines have a real chance of winning, although the poor efficiency of both teams and the guests' form (three draws in the last five) suggest the possibility of a points split.
Rutsiro vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rutsiro play Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 5:3.
Current form
Rutsiro: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Marines: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rutsiro scores 0.88 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Marines scores 1.38 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rutsiro 53%, Marines 59%. Over 2.5: Rutsiro 47%, Marines 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Marines has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.12. Rutsiro: 6.7 shots per match, Marines: 6.9.
Match halves
Rutsiro: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.50. Marines: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Rutsiro: 46-60 (7 goals). Marines: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Marines appear to be the clear favorite for this meeting. Rutsiro occupies the last, 18th place in the table with disastrous home form – zero home wins this season (0% Win%) and as many as 63% losses. The hosts have earned just 0.4 points per match in their last five games and have not won any of them. Marines, despite playing away, present significantly better disposition – 30% away wins, a better goal difference (-1 vs -6 for the hosts), and higher xG indicators (1.39 vs 1.26). Additionally, the guests have obtained 1.2 points per match in their last five games, which is three times better than Rutsiro. Considering all statistics, Marines have a real chance of winning, although the poor efficiency of both teams and the guests' form (three draws in the last five) suggest the possibility of a points split.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rutsiro | Marines | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marines is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Rutsiro · 1.4 pts / match - Marines
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marines is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Rutsiro · 1.38 goals / match - Marines
Marines is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Rutsiro · 1.26 goals / match - Marines
Rutsiro scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Marines scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rutsiro
Over / Under — Marines
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Rutsiro · 1.68 pts / match - Marines
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Marines - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rutsiro
Marines
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Rutsiro | Liga | Marines | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.26 | 2.12 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rutsiro 0 - 0 - 1 Marines. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rutsiro vs Marines?
The National Soccer League match finished Rutsiro 5:3 Marines. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rutsiro vs Marines?
Rutsiro score 0.88 goals per game on average and Marines 1.38. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Rutsiro's matches and 59% of Marines's.
What form are Rutsiro and Marines in?
Over the last 5 games Rutsiro have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Marines 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rutsiro vs Marines?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rutsiro vs Marines: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.