Rutsiro vs Marines: match statistics
Marines appear to be the clear favorite for this meeting. Rutsiro occupies the last, 18th place in the table with disastrous home form – zero home wins this season (0% Win%) and as many as 63% losses. The hosts have earned just 0.4 points per match in their last five games and have not won any of them. Marines, despite playing away, present significantly better disposition – 30% away wins, a better goal difference (-1 vs -6 for the hosts), and higher xG indicators (1.39 vs 1.26). Additionally, the guests have obtained 1.2 points per match in their last five games, which is three times better than Rutsiro. Considering all statistics, Marines have a real chance of winning, although the poor efficiency of both teams and the guests' form (three draws in the last five) suggest the possibility of a points split.
Rutsiro vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rutsiro played against Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 5:3.
Recent form
Rutsiro has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Marines has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Rutsiro scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 1.50. Marines scores 1.10 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Rutsiro's games and 45% of Marines's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 30%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Marines has the higher season xG average, 1.20 to 1.08 per game. Rutsiro takes 6.2 shots per game, while Marines takes 7.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Rutsiro leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Marines leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rutsiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Marines, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marines appear to be the clear favorite for this meeting. Rutsiro occupies the last, 18th place in the table with disastrous home form – zero home wins this season (0% Win%) and as many as 63% losses. The hosts have earned just 0.4 points per match in their last five games and have not won any of them. Marines, despite playing away, present significantly better disposition – 30% away wins, a better goal difference (-1 vs -6 for the hosts), and higher xG indicators (1.39 vs 1.26). Additionally, the guests have obtained 1.2 points per match in their last five games, which is three times better than Rutsiro. Considering all statistics, Marines have a real chance of winning, although the poor efficiency of both teams and the guests' form (three draws in the last five) suggest the possibility of a points split.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rutsiro | Marines | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Marines is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Rutsiro · 1.2 pts / game - Marines
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marines is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Rutsiro · 1.1 goals / game - Marines
Marines is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Rutsiro · 0.95 goals / game - Marines
Rutsiro scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
Marines scores in 80% of games (16 of 20 meczów), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rutsiro
Over / Under - Marines
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / game - Rutsiro · 1.65 pts / game - Marines
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Marines - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rutsiro
Marines
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Rutsiro | Liga | Marines | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.45 | 2.05 | • 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 45% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 34% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MarinesGoalTaïba Mbonyumwami
- MarinesGoalTaïba Mbonyumwami
Head-to-head
Record from Rutsiro's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Marines. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rutsiro vs Marines?
The National Soccer League match finished Rutsiro 5:3 Marines. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rutsiro vs Marines?
Rutsiro score 0.95 goals per game on average and Marines 1.10. The National Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Rutsiro's matches and 45% of Marines's.
What form are Rutsiro and Marines in?
Over the last 5 games Rutsiro have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Marines 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rutsiro vs Marines?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rutsiro vs Marines: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.