Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt: match statistics
Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Saarbrucken play Ingolstadt in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Saarbrucken: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ingolstadt: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Saarbrucken scores 1.34 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Ingolstadt scores 1.71 and concedes 1.47. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Saarbrucken 63%, Ingolstadt 74%. Over 2.5: Saarbrucken 45%, Ingolstadt 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Saarbrucken has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.57. Saarbrucken: 13.3 shots per match, Ingolstadt: 13.2.
Match halves
Saarbrucken: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Ingolstadt: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Saarbrucken: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistics favor Saarbrücken in chance creation: at home they average 14.71 shots and 5.14 on target per match with an xG of 1.73 and 1.71 goals scored, while Ingolstadt away average 11.73 shots, 4.67 on target, xG 1.46 and 1.87 goals scored. Seasonally Ingolstadt still have a better goal tally (50 scored vs 40 for Saarbrücken) and greater efficiency — conversion rate 16% vs 12% for the hosts, and a lower share of matches without scoring: 7% for the visitors vs 14% for the hosts. In the short term Saarbrücken’s defence looks weaker: they conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 avg) while Ingolstadt conceded 7 (1.4 avg), and both teams have identical PPG over the last 5 matches (0.8). Additionally the hosts have a stronger home record (43% home wins vs 33% away wins for the visitors), which combined with higher home xG gives them a slight numerical edge. Considering superior chance creation and home advantage despite poorer defensive form, I tip a narrow Saarbrücken win - 1.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Saarbrucken | Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ingolstadt is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Saarbrucken · 1.8 pts / match - Ingolstadt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ingolstadt is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Saarbrucken · 1.71 goals / match - Ingolstadt
Saarbrucken scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Ingolstadt scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Saarbrucken keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Saarbrucken
Over / Under — Ingolstadt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ingolstadt is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Saarbrucken · 1.37 pts / match - Ingolstadt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Saarbrucken - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Saarbrucken
Ingolstadt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Saarbrucken | Liga | Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.84 | 3.21 | • 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 64% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 83% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Saarbrucken 0 - 0 - 1 Ingolstadt. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt?
The 3. Liga match finished Saarbrucken 1:0 Ingolstadt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt?
Saarbrucken score 1.34 goals per game on average and Ingolstadt 1.71. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Saarbrucken's matches and 74% of Ingolstadt's.
What form are Saarbrucken and Ingolstadt in?
Over the last 5 games Saarbrucken have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ingolstadt 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.