Sabah vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sabah play Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 18 December 2025 at 16:30. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Sabah: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Qarabağ: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sabah scores 2.27 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 2.15 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sabah 52%, Qarabağ 45%. Over 2.5: Sabah 61%, Qarabağ 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.90. Sabah: 14.2 shots per match, Qarabağ: 15.5.

Match halves

Sabah: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.18. Qarabağ: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.27.

Goals by minute

Sabah: 46-60 (17 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
SabahQarabağ
20Shots15
SabahQarabağ
5Shots on target6
SabahQarabağ
2.23xG1.88
SabahQarabağ
5Corners4
SabahQarabağ
88Dangerous attacks72
SabahQarabağ
18Fouls11
SabahQarabağ
1Cards1
SabahQarabağ

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.27Goals scored / match2.15
SabahQarabağ
0.76Goals conceded / match0.82
SabahQarabağ
58%Average possession65%
SabahQarabağ
6.06Shots on target / match5.94
SabahQarabağ

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.21Shots per match15.48
SabahQarabağ
6.06Shots on target5.94
SabahQarabağ
16%Shot conversion13.9%
SabahQarabağ
58%Possession65%
SabahQarabağ
1.9xG for1.97
SabahQarabağ
1.11xG against1.01
SabahQarabağ

Shooting quality

Sabah: DominantQarabağ: Dominant
SabahQarabağ
Accuracy (shots on target)43%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Qarabağ is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Sabah · 2 pts / match - Qarabağ

Sabah
WWLLW
Season result split
73% W18% R9% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-6-3
2.36 pts / match · goal difference +50
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.30Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Qarabağ
LWDWW
Season result split
64% W18% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-6-6
2.09 pts / match · goal difference +44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-3-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sabah is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

2.27 goals / match - Sabah · 2.15 goals / match - Qarabağ

Sabah is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.76 goals / match - Sabah · 0.82 goals / match - Qarabağ

Sabah scoring profile: very strong

Sabah scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

Qarabağ scoring profile: strong

Qarabağ scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Sabah keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

75Goals scored (season)71
SabahQarabağ
25Goals conceded (season)27
SabahQarabağ
3.03Average goals in match2.97
SabahQarabağ
8Goals scored (last 5)11
SabahQarabağ
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
SabahQarabağ

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal82%
SabahQarabağ
70%2 goals58%
SabahQarabağ
42%3 goals30%
SabahQarabağ
15%4 goals21%
SabahQarabağ

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal58%
SabahQarabağ
15%2 goals18%
SabahQarabağ
3%3 goals6%
SabahQarabağ
0%4 goals0%
SabahQarabağ

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
SabahQarabağ
0%BTTS in both halves3%
SabahQarabağ
45%Scored in both halves36%
SabahQarabağ

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
SabahQarabağ
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
SabahQarabağ
40%BTTS - last 580%
SabahQarabağ

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
SabahQarabağ
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
SabahQarabağ
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
SabahQarabağ

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
SabahQarabağ
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
SabahQarabağ
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
SabahQarabağ

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sabah is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.97 pts / match - Sabah · 1.67 pts / match - Qarabağ

Sabah - half-time state
52% leading42% draw6% trailing
Qarabağ - half-time state
42% leading39% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.97Points per match (1st half)1.67
SabahQarabağ
1.09Goals scored (1st half)0.88
SabahQarabağ
0.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
SabahQarabağ
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.21
SabahQarabağ
82%Clean sheet before half-time67%
SabahQarabağ
36%No goal before half-time48%
SabahQarabağ

After half-time (2nd half)

1.88Points per match (2nd half)2.03
SabahQarabağ
1.18Goals scored (2nd half)1.27
SabahQarabağ
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
SabahQarabağ
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.76
SabahQarabağ
58%Clean sheet after half-time67%
SabahQarabağ
30%No goal after half-time33%
SabahQarabağ

Sabah - second-half results

52% W33% R15% P
65
Half-time points
36
Half-time goals
+28
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qarabağ - second-half results

61% W21% R18% P
55
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
67
Second-half points
+26
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sabah - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match0.63.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sabah
ScoredConceded
11
3
0-15
13
1
16-30
12
4
31-45
17
3
46-60
10
4
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
8
2
16-30
14
6
31-45
10
7
46-60
12
2
61-75
20
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sabah

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
173%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.96
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

SabahLigaQarabağ
Average goals in match 3.032.58 2.97
Both teams scored 52%46% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%48% 48%
Clean sheets 42%31% 42%
Goal before half-time 67%65% 70%
Goal after half-time 82%74% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Sabah 1 - 1 - 0 Qarabağ. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Sabah vs Qarabağ?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Sabah 2:1 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sabah and Qarabağ?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sabah won 1, Qarabağ won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sabah vs Qarabağ?

Sabah score 2.27 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.15. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Sabah's matches and 45% of Qarabağ's.

What form are Sabah and Qarabağ in?

Over the last 5 games Sabah have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Qarabağ 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sabah vs Qarabağ?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sabah vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.