Saburtalo vs Gagra: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Saburtalo played against Gagra in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The game was played on December 6, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Saburtalo has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Gagra has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Saburtalo scores 1.69 goals per game and allows 0.63. Gagra scores 1.23 and allows 1.54. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 37% of Saburtalo's games and 54% of Gagra's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 51%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Saburtalo has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.58 per game. Saburtalo takes 14.4 shots per game, while Gagra takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Saburtalo leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Gagra leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.77 after halftime.

When the teams score

Saburtalo's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). For Gagra, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Erovnuli Liga games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

37Possession (%)63
SaburtaloGagra
14Shots9
SaburtaloGagra
5Shots on target3
SaburtaloGagra
1.65xG1.25
SaburtaloGagra
6Corners3
SaburtaloGagra
57Dangerous attacks64
SaburtaloGagra
13Fouls6
SaburtaloGagra
4Cards4
SaburtaloGagra

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.69Goals scored / game1.23
SaburtaloGagra
0.63Goals allowed / game1.54
SaburtaloGagra
54%Average possession52%
SaburtaloGagra
5.23Shots on target / game4.03
SaburtaloGagra

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.43Shots per game13.4
SaburtaloGagra
5.23Shots on target4.03
SaburtaloGagra
11.7%Shot conversion9.2%
SaburtaloGagra
54%Possession52%
SaburtaloGagra
1.72xG for1.58
SaburtaloGagra
1.28xG against1.58
SaburtaloGagra

Shooting quality

Saburtalo: AttackingGagra: Balanced
SaburtaloGagra
Accuracy (shots on target)36%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Saburtalo is 114% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Saburtalo · 1.4 pts / game - Gagra

Saburtalo
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
66% W23% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-8-4
2.20 pts / game · goal difference +37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-4-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Gagra
DLWWL
Season result split
34% W17% R49% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-17
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-2-7
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Saburtalo is 37% better for: goals scored per game.

1.69 goals / game - Saburtalo · 1.23 goals / game - Gagra

Saburtalo is 144% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.63 goals / game - Saburtalo · 1.54 goals / game - Gagra

Saburtalo scoring profile: very strong

Saburtalo scores in 86% of games (30 of 35 meczów), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 meczów).

Gagra scoring profile: mixed

Gagra scores in 74% of games (26 of 35 meczów), while Saburtalo keeps a clean sheet in 60% (21 of 35 meczów).

59Goals scored (season)43
SaburtaloGagra
22Goals conceded (season)54
SaburtaloGagra
2.31Average goals per game2.77
SaburtaloGagra
10Goals scored (last 5)11
SaburtaloGagra
0Goals conceded (last 5)9
SaburtaloGagra

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal74%
SaburtaloGagra
49%2 goals29%
SaburtaloGagra
20%3 goals11%
SaburtaloGagra
9%4 goals9%
SaburtaloGagra

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal80%
SaburtaloGagra
17%2 goals46%
SaburtaloGagra
6%3 goals17%
SaburtaloGagra
0%4 goals9%
SaburtaloGagra

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time26%
SaburtaloGagra
3%BTTS in both halves3%
SaburtaloGagra
29%Scored in both halves20%
SaburtaloGagra

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
SaburtaloGagra
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
SaburtaloGagra
0%BTTS - last 5100%
SaburtaloGagra

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
SaburtaloGagra
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
SaburtaloGagra
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
SaburtaloGagra

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
SaburtaloGagra
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
SaburtaloGagra
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
SaburtaloGagra

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Saburtalo is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.74 pts / game - Saburtalo · 0.94 pts / game - Gagra

Saburtalo - half-time state
40% leading54% draw6% trailing
Gagra - half-time state
17% leading43% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.74Points per game (1st half)0.94
SaburtaloGagra
0.77Goals scored (1st half)0.46
SaburtaloGagra
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
SaburtaloGagra
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.2
SaburtaloGagra
77%Clean sheet before half-time43%
SaburtaloGagra
46%No goal before half-time60%
SaburtaloGagra

After half-time (2nd half)

1.89Points per game (2nd half)1.43
SaburtaloGagra
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
SaburtaloGagra
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
SaburtaloGagra
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.57
SaburtaloGagra
71%Clean sheet after half-time43%
SaburtaloGagra
40%No goal after half-time46%
SaburtaloGagra

Saburtalo - second-half results

54% W26% R20% P
61
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+21
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 66%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Gagra - second-half results

40% W23% R37% P
33
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Saburtalo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.60
Goals scored / game0.61.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Gagra - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.40
Goals scored / game1.01.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.62.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Saburtalo
ScoredConceded
6
0
0-15
7
5
16-30
14
6
31-45
11
1
46-60
11
2
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Gagra
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
6
12
16-30
5
10
31-45
9
4
46-60
5
6
61-75
13
18
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Saburtalo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Gagra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).

Teams vs league

SaburtaloLigaGagra
Average goals per game 2.312.68 2.77
Both teams scored 37%51% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%50% 51%
Clean sheets 60%27% 20%
Goal before half-time 57%67% 71%
Goal after half-time 80%85% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GagraYellow cardSaba Zoidze
  2. SaburtaloYellow cardAmiran Dzagania
  3. SaburtaloYellow cardAmiran Dzagania
  4. GagraSubstitutionOn: Davit Mujiri Jr.Off: Saba Zoidze
  5. SaburtaloSubstitutionOn: Tornike AkhvledianiOff: Luka Silagadze
  6. SaburtaloGoalGizo Mamageishvili
  7. GagraRed cardIllia Skrypnyk
  8. SaburtaloSubstitutionOn: Guram GoshtelianiOff: Nikoloz Dadiani
  9. GagraSubstitutionOn: Giorgi PapuashviliOff: Rati Ardazishvili
  10. SaburtaloSubstitutionOn: Giorgi KobuladzeOff: Gizo Mamageishvili
  11. SaburtaloYellow cardGiorgi Kobuladze

Head-to-head

Record from Saburtalo's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Gagra. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FC Gagra
1 : 3
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi
3 : 1
FC Gagra
FC Gagra
0 : 1
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi

FAQ

What was the result of Saburtalo vs Gagra?

The Erovnuli Liga match finished Saburtalo 2:1 Gagra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Saburtalo and Gagra?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Saburtalo won 3, Gagra won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Saburtalo vs Gagra?

Saburtalo score 1.69 goals per game on average and Gagra 1.23. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Saburtalo's matches and 54% of Gagra's.

What form are Saburtalo and Gagra in?

Over the last 5 games Saburtalo have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Gagra 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Saburtalo vs Gagra?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Saburtalo vs Gagra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.