Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive: match statistics
Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sacramento Republic played against El Paso Locomotive in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Sacramento Republic has 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.67 points per game. El Paso Locomotive has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Sacramento Republic scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.33. El Paso Locomotive scores 2.50 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Sacramento Republic's games and 50% of El Paso Locomotive's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 100%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
El Paso Locomotive has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.21 per game. Sacramento Republic takes 8.3 shots per game, while El Paso Locomotive takes 14.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Sacramento Republic leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. El Paso Locomotive leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sacramento Republic's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For El Paso Locomotive, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams display strong metrics: Sacramento unbeaten at home (0 defeats), 1.5 goals per match and 0.5 GA, indicating a solid defense. El Paso show impressive away numbers (100% wins in available data, 3 goals per match and 100% CS), high shot efficiency and higher volume. The contrasting styles — Sacramento possession/control vs El Paso aggression and conversion — balance out, making a clear pick difficult. Recent form for both is good; therefore a draw is the most likely outcome, though a narrow win for either side is possible.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Despite some conflicting metrics, signals favor BTTS. Sacramento home: 100% season BTTS, 0% CS, high xG (1.67) and 7 SOT, indicating chance creation. El Paso show high shot efficiency (23%), 3.0 avg goals and conceded 8 in L5, supporting involvement in open games. League BTTS 56% and both teams 100% over2.5 suggest open matches. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes (moderate confidence).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG (1.67 home, 1.51 away) and opponent defensive values suggest total ~2.67 xG. Sacramento generates more shots (16 avg) and SOT, while El Paso has high finishing (23% conversion) — increasing chance of victorial finishes. Season percentages show very high tendencies for Over1.5 and Over2.5 for both teams, confirming an offensive fixture. Given this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Available data strongly favor El Paso — 100% away winPercentage and 100% leadingAtHTPercentage_away indicate guests often lead at Half-Time and win. HT stats show low concededAVG_away (0.0) and relatively even scoredAVGHT, while second halves also favor the away side (scored_2hg_avg_away 2.0, gd_2hg_away 2.0). Recent form and xG (xg_for_avg_away 1.51 vs xg_for_avg_home 1.67, but clear away result superiority) confirm El Paso’s efficiency in converting chances. Given these signals the most reliable market is HT away lead and FT away win (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sacramento Republic | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
El Paso Locomotive is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / game - Sacramento Republic · 2 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 150% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Sacramento Republic · 2.5 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic is 203% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.33 goals / game - Sacramento Republic · 1 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sacramento Republic
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Sacramento Republic · 2 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sacramento Republic | Liga | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.33 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Sacramento Republic's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against El Paso Locomotive. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
The USL Championship match finished Sacramento Republic 1:2 El Paso Locomotive. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and El Paso Locomotive?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 2, El Paso Locomotive won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Sacramento Republic score 1.00 goals per game on average and El Paso Locomotive 2.50. The USL Championship average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 50% of El Paso Locomotive's.
What form are Sacramento Republic and El Paso Locomotive in?
Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and El Paso Locomotive 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.