Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC: match statistics
Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sacramento Republic play Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Sacramento Republic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sacramento Republic 57%, Orange County SC 63%. Over 2.5: Sacramento Republic 29%, Orange County SC 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Sacramento Republic has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.20. Sacramento Republic: 10.7 shots per match, Orange County SC: 10.5.
Match halves
Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79. Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (5 goals). Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-2-1. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Sacramento has the edge in home attack: they average 1.5 goals per home match (8 goals this season) and have scored 8 goals in the last 5 games, while Orange County averages 1.0 goals away (7 goals this season) and only 4 goals in the last 5 matches. In quality of chances Sacramento is also superior: average xG at home is 1.50 versus 1.13 xG for Orange on the road, average shots 11 vs 8.67 and shots on target 4 vs 3.67 with a higher conversion rate of 14% vs 12%. Orange, however, sit 2nd in the table and have a very solid away defence — conceding only 0.33 goals per away match and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of away games, while Sacramento concede 0.75 at home and have 50% clean sheets. Form favours the hosts: Sacramento average 1.8 points per match in the last 5 and are unbeaten in that run (W D D D W), while Orange average 1.4 points in their last 5 with two defeats (L W W D L). Considering the advantage in xG, shot quantity and quality, and ball control (53% possession for the hosts vs 43% for the visitors), I give Sacramento higher chances — 52% to win, 26% for a draw and 22% for an Orange victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sacramento Republic | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Orange County SC is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orange County SC is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.56 goals / match - Orange County SC
Sacramento Republic is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC
Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sacramento Republic
Over / Under — Orange County SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orange County SC is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sacramento Republic
Orange County SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sacramento Republic | Liga | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 - 1 Orange County SC. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?
The USL Championship match finished Sacramento Republic 3:2 Orange County SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Orange County SC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 2, Orange County SC won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?
Sacramento Republic score 1.14 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.56. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 63% of Orange County SC's.
What form are Sacramento Republic and Orange County SC in?
Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Orange County SC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.