Safa vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Safa played against Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The game was played on December 13, 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Safa has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Al Ahed has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Safa scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 0.71. Al Ahed scores 1.88 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.31 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Safa's games and 25% of Al Ahed's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 63%, compared with league averages of 31% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Al Ahed has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 0.83 per game. Safa takes 2.9 shots per game, while Al Ahed takes 9.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Safa leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Al Ahed leads at halftime in 63% and scores 0.88 after halftime.

When the teams score

Safa's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Al Ahed, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Lebanese Premier League games average 2.31 goals. Both teams score in 31% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58
SafaAl Ahed
2Shots10
SafaAl Ahed
0Shots on target3
SafaAl Ahed
0.39xG1.37
SafaAl Ahed
0Corners3
SafaAl Ahed
34Dangerous attacks71
SafaAl Ahed
-1Fouls-1
SafaAl Ahed
-1Cards-1
SafaAl Ahed

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.57Goals scored / game1.88
SafaAl Ahed
0.71Goals allowed / game1.25
SafaAl Ahed
45%Average possession55%
SafaAl Ahed
1.43Shots on target / game5
SafaAl Ahed

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

2.86Shots per game9.5
SafaAl Ahed
1.43Shots on target5
SafaAl Ahed
55%Shot conversion19.7%
SafaAl Ahed
45%Possession55%
SafaAl Ahed
0.83xG for1.35
SafaAl Ahed
0.96xG against1.05
SafaAl Ahed

Shooting quality

Safa: Counter-attackingAl Ahed: Efficient finishing
SafaAl Ahed
Accuracy (shots on target)50%53%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)1.100.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Safa is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Safa · 1.8 pts / game - Al Ahed

Safa
DLWWW
Season result split
43% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-2
1.57 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Al Ahed
WWLWL
Season result split
75% W0% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-2
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ahed is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1.57 goals / game - Safa · 1.88 goals / game - Al Ahed

Safa is 76% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.71 goals / game - Safa · 1.25 goals / game - Al Ahed

Safa scoring profile: more difficult

Safa scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 meczów).

Al Ahed scoring profile: very strong

Al Ahed scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).

11Goals scored (season)15
SafaAl Ahed
5Goals conceded (season)10
SafaAl Ahed
2.29Average goals per game3.13
SafaAl Ahed
10Goals scored (last 5)8
SafaAl Ahed
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
SafaAl Ahed

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal88%
SafaAl Ahed
43%2 goals63%
SafaAl Ahed
14%3 goals38%
SafaAl Ahed
14%4 goals0%
SafaAl Ahed

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal38%
SafaAl Ahed
0%2 goals25%
SafaAl Ahed
0%3 goals25%
SafaAl Ahed
0%4 goals25%
SafaAl Ahed

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time13%
SafaAl Ahed
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SafaAl Ahed
29%Scored in both halves50%
SafaAl Ahed

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
SafaAl Ahed
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS38%
SafaAl Ahed
40%BTTS - last 540%
SafaAl Ahed

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

29%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
SafaAl Ahed
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
SafaAl Ahed
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
SafaAl Ahed

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
SafaAl Ahed
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
SafaAl Ahed
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
SafaAl Ahed

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ahed is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.57 pts / game - Safa · 2 pts / game - Al Ahed

Safa - half-time state
29% leading71% draw0% trailing
Al Ahed - half-time state
63% leading13% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.57Points per game (1st half)2
SafaAl Ahed
0.71Goals scored (1st half)1
SafaAl Ahed
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
SafaAl Ahed
0.71Average goals (1st half)1.63
SafaAl Ahed
100%Clean sheet before half-time63%
SafaAl Ahed
71%No goal before half-time38%
SafaAl Ahed

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per game (2nd half)2
SafaAl Ahed
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
SafaAl Ahed
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
SafaAl Ahed
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.5
SafaAl Ahed
29%Clean sheet after half-time75%
SafaAl Ahed
43%No goal after half-time25%
SafaAl Ahed

Safa - second-half results

43% W29% R29% P
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Al Ahed - second-half results

63% W13% R25% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Safa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+5+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Al Ahed - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Safa
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Al Ahed
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.99
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.74
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Al Ahed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

SafaLigaAl Ahed
Average goals per game 2.292.31 3.13
Both teams scored 43%31% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%43% 63%
Clean sheets 29%43% 63%
Goal before half-time 29%57% 88%
Goal after half-time 86%73% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per game
31%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
43%
Clean sheets
1.10
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+-8%
Home attack advantage
+-9%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Safa vs Al Ahed?

The Lebanese Premier League match finished Safa 0:1 Al Ahed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Al Ahed?

Safa score 1.57 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.88. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Safa's matches and 25% of Al Ahed's.

What form are Safa and Al Ahed in?

Over the last 5 games Safa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Ahed 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Al Ahed?

The statistical background for Safa vs Al Ahed — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.