Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıData current as of November 03, 2026

Safa vs Araz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Safa vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Safa plays Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026.

Recent form

Safa has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Araz has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Safa scores 0.60 goals per game and allows 1.80. Araz scores 0.90 and allows 2.10. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Safa's games and 60% of Araz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 70%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Araz has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 0.97 per game. Safa takes 6.9 shots per game, while Araz takes 10.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Safa leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Araz leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Safa's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Araz, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.6Goals scored / game0.9
SafaAraz
1.8Goals allowed / game2.1
SafaAraz
40%Average possession49%
SafaAraz
3.2Shots on target / game3.3
SafaAraz

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.9Shots per game10.6
SafaAraz
3.2Shots on target3.3
SafaAraz
8.7%Shot conversion8.5%
SafaAraz
40%Possession49%
SafaAraz
0.97xG for1.28
SafaAraz
1.84xG against1.72
SafaAraz

Shooting quality

Safa: BalancedAraz: Balanced
SafaAraz
Accuracy (shots on target)46%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.190.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Safa
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
10% W10% D80% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-8
0.40 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 at home
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Araz
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W30% D70% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-7
0.30 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 away
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Araz is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

0.6 goals / game - Safa · 0.9 goals / game - Araz

Safa is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.8 goals / game - Safa · 2.1 goals / game - Araz

Safa scoring profile: strong

Safa scores in 50% of games (5 of 10 games), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

Araz scoring profile: very strong

Araz scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

6Goals scored (season)9
SafaAraz
18Goals conceded (season)21
SafaAraz
2.4Average goals per game3
SafaAraz
4Goals scored (last 5)5
SafaAraz
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
SafaAraz

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal60%
SafaAraz
10%2 goals30%
SafaAraz
0%3 goals0%
SafaAraz
0%4 goals0%
SafaAraz

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal90%
SafaAraz
50%2 goals80%
SafaAraz
30%3 goals20%
SafaAraz
10%4 goals10%
SafaAraz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
SafaAraz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SafaAraz
10%Scored in both halves20%
SafaAraz

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
SafaAraz
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
SafaAraz
60%BTTS - last 580%
SafaAraz

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
SafaAraz
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
SafaAraz
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
SafaAraz

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
SafaAraz
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
SafaAraz
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
SafaAraz

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Araz is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Safa · 1.2 pts / game - Araz

Safa - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Araz - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.2
SafaAraz
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.5
SafaAraz
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.9
SafaAraz
0.7Average goals (1st half)1.4
SafaAraz
60%Clean sheet before half-time50%
SafaAraz
80%No goal before half-time50%
SafaAraz

After half-time (2nd half)

0.4Points per game (2nd half)0.3
SafaAraz
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
SafaAraz
1.3Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
SafaAraz
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.6
SafaAraz
20%Clean sheet after half-time20%
SafaAraz
60%No goal after half-time70%
SafaAraz

Safa - second-half results

10% W10% D80% L
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Araz - second-half results

0% W30% D70% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Safa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.4
Average goals per game0.61.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Araz - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.20
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Safa
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
7
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Araz
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.87
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
154%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Araz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

SafaLigaAraz
Average goals per game▼ 2.402.60▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 40%52%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%48%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▼ 10%29%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%66%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%79%• 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.17
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Safa and Araz play?

Safa face Araz on November 7, 2026 in Premyer Liqası. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Araz?

Safa score 0.60 goals per game on average and Araz 0.90. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Safa's matches and 60% of Araz's.

What form are Safa and Araz in?

Over the last 5 games Safa have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Araz 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Araz?

The statistical background for Safa vs Araz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.