Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıData current as of October 20, 2026

Safa vs Kapaz: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Safa vs Kapaz: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Safa plays Kapaz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026.

Recent form

Safa has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Kapaz has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Safa scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.88. Kapaz scores 1.00 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 25% of Safa's games and 43% of Kapaz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 14%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Kapaz has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 0.95 per game. Safa takes 6.5 shots per game, while Kapaz takes 8.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Safa leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Kapaz leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.86 after halftime.

When the teams score

Safa's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Kapaz, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.5Goals scored / game1
SafaKapaz
1.88Goals allowed / game1.14
SafaKapaz
39%Average possession44%
SafaKapaz
3.25Shots on target / game3.43
SafaKapaz

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.5Shots per game8.71
SafaKapaz
3.25Shots on target3.43
SafaKapaz
7.7%Shot conversion11.5%
SafaKapaz
39%Possession44%
SafaKapaz
0.95xG for1.15
SafaKapaz
1.91xG against1.56
SafaKapaz

Shooting quality

Safa: BalancedKapaz: Balanced
SafaKapaz
Accuracy (shots on target)50%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.150.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Safa
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
13% W0% D88% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-7
0.38 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 at home
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 2.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Kapaz
LWDWD
Season result split
43% W29% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-2
1.57 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kapaz is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

0.5 goals / game - Safa · 1 goals / game - Kapaz

Kapaz is 65% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.88 goals / game - Safa · 1.14 goals / game - Kapaz

Safa scoring profile: more difficult

Safa scores in 38% of games (3 of 8 games), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

Kapaz scoring profile: very strong

Kapaz scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).

4Goals scored (season)7
SafaKapaz
15Goals conceded (season)8
SafaKapaz
2.38Average goals per game2.14
SafaKapaz
3Goals scored (last 5)6
SafaKapaz
12Goals conceded (last 5)6
SafaKapaz

How often they score at least...

38%1 goal86%
SafaKapaz
13%2 goals14%
SafaKapaz
0%3 goals0%
SafaKapaz
0%4 goals0%
SafaKapaz

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal57%
SafaKapaz
50%2 goals29%
SafaKapaz
38%3 goals14%
SafaKapaz
13%4 goals14%
SafaKapaz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
SafaKapaz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SafaKapaz
13%Scored in both halves14%
SafaKapaz

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
SafaKapaz
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SafaKapaz
40%BTTS - last 560%
SafaKapaz

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
SafaKapaz
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
SafaKapaz
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SafaKapaz

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
SafaKapaz
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
SafaKapaz
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
SafaKapaz

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kapaz is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / game - Safa · 1 pts / game - Kapaz

Safa - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing
Kapaz - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per game (1st half)1
SafaKapaz
0.13Goals scored (1st half)0.14
SafaKapaz
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
SafaKapaz
0.75Average goals (1st half)0.57
SafaKapaz
50%Clean sheet before half-time71%
SafaKapaz
88%No goal before half-time86%
SafaKapaz

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per game (2nd half)1.86
SafaKapaz
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
SafaKapaz
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
SafaKapaz
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.57
SafaKapaz
25%Clean sheet after half-time57%
SafaKapaz
63%No goal after half-time14%
SafaKapaz

Safa - second-half results

13% W13% D75% L
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kapaz - second-half results

57% W14% D29% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Safa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.20
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.6
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Kapaz - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Safa
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
5
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Kapaz
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.26
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.96
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
35%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Kapaz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

SafaLigaKapaz
Average goals per game▼ 2.382.57▼ 2.14
Both teams scored▼ 25%46%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%46%▼ 14%
Clean sheets▼ 13%32%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%65%▼ 43%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%78%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Safa and Kapaz play?

Safa face Kapaz on October 24, 2026 in Premyer Liqası. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Kapaz?

Safa score 0.50 goals per game on average and Kapaz 1.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Safa's matches and 43% of Kapaz's.

What form are Safa and Kapaz in?

Over the last 5 games Safa have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Kapaz 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Kapaz?

The statistical background for Safa vs Kapaz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.