Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sagan Tosu played against Jubilo Iwata in J2 League (Japan). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Sagan Tosu has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Jubilo Iwata has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Sagan Tosu scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.11. Jubilo Iwata scores 1.54 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 51% of Sagan Tosu's games and 51% of Jubilo Iwata's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 54%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Jubilo Iwata has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.34 per game. Sagan Tosu takes 11.2 shots per game, while Jubilo Iwata takes 11.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Sagan Tosu leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Jubilo Iwata leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.81 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sagan Tosu's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). For Jubilo Iwata, it is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J2 League games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

58Possession (%)42
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
15Shots12
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
3Shots on target6
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
1.65xG1.57
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
9Corners9
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
71Dangerous attacks55
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
9Fouls13
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
2Cards2
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
1.22Goals scored / game1.54
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
1.11Goals allowed / game1.35
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
52%Average possession57%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
3.57Shots on target / game4.11
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.22Shots per game11.38
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
3.57Shots on target4.11
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
10.8%Shot conversion13.5%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
52%Possession57%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
1.34xG for1.4
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
1.3xG against1.45
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

Shooting quality

Sagan Tosu: BalancedJubilo Iwata: Efficient finishing
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
Accuracy (shots on target)32%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Jubilo Iwata is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Sagan Tosu · 2 pts / game - Jubilo Iwata

Sagan Tosu
WLDLD
Season result split
43% W27% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-10-11
1.57 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-6-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Jubilo Iwata
LWWWD
Season result split
49% W19% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-12
1.65 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-6
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Jubilo Iwata is 26% better for: goals scored per game.

1.22 goals / game - Sagan Tosu · 1.54 goals / game - Jubilo Iwata

Sagan Tosu is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.11 goals / game - Sagan Tosu · 1.35 goals / game - Jubilo Iwata

Sagan Tosu scoring profile: strong

Sagan Tosu scores in 76% of games (28 of 37 meczów), while Jubilo Iwata keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 37 meczów).

Jubilo Iwata scoring profile: strong

Jubilo Iwata scores in 78% of games (29 of 37 meczów), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 meczów).

45Goals scored (season)57
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
41Goals conceded (season)50
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
2.32Average goals per game2.89
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal78%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
38%2 goals41%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
5%3 goals24%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
3%4 goals8%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal68%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
30%2 goals41%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
14%3 goals19%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
3%4 goals8%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time16%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
3%BTTS in both halves5%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
24%Scored in both halves27%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
40%BTTS - last 560%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time51%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sagan Tosu - half-time state
41% leading38% draw22% trailing
Jubilo Iwata - half-time state
38% leading41% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per game (1st half)1.54
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.73
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
0.49Goals conceded (1st half)0.49
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.22
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
65%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
43%No goal before half-time51%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per game (2nd half)1.24
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.68
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
51%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata
57%No goal after half-time43%
Sagan TosuJubilo Iwata

Sagan Tosu - second-half results

27% W41% D32% L
59
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding105%

Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Jubilo Iwata - second-half results

30% W35% D35% L
57
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 49%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Sagan Tosu - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Jubilo Iwata - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game1.20.4
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sagan Tosu
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
7
8
16-30
13
7
31-45
6
5
46-60
3
4
61-75
12
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Jubilo Iwata
ScoredConceded
10
5
0-15
8
4
16-30
9
9
31-45
3
9
46-60
9
12
61-75
18
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sagan Tosu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Jubilo Iwata

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).

Teams vs league

Sagan TosuLigaJubilo Iwata
Average goals per game 2.322.45 2.89
Both teams scored 51%51% 51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%45% 54%
Clean sheets 35%29% 32%
Goal before half-time 76%68% 68%
Goal after half-time 68%74% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.45
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / game
1.19
Away goals / game
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Sagan TosuYellow cardYuta Imazu
  2. Jubilo IwataYellow cardDaiki Kaneko
  3. Jubilo IwataSubstitutionOn: Shion InoueOff: Rikiya Uehara
  4. Sagan TosuSubstitutionOn: Shion ShinkawaOff: Hiroto Yamada
  5. Sagan TosuSubstitutionOn: Daichi SuzukiOff: Kenta Nishizawa
  6. Jubilo IwataGoalKo MatsubaraAssist: Ryo Watanabe
  7. Sagan TosuSubstitutionOn: Jean Hebert de FreitasOff: Nagi Matsumoto
  8. Sagan TosuYellow cardVykintas Slivka
  9. Sagan TosuGoalDaichi SuzukiAssist: Vykintas Slivka

Head-to-head

Record from Sagan Tosu's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Jubilo Iwata. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Jubilo Iwata
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu

FAQ

What was the result of Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata?

The J2 League match finished Sagan Tosu 1:2 Jubilo Iwata. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata?

Sagan Tosu score 1.22 goals per game on average and Jubilo Iwata 1.54. The J2 League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Sagan Tosu's matches and 51% of Jubilo Iwata's.

What form are Sagan Tosu and Jubilo Iwata in?

Over the last 5 games Sagan Tosu have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Jubilo Iwata 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata?

The statistical background for Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.