Saipa vs Navad Urmia: match statistics
Saipa are showing solid home form with 71% clean sheets and only a 14% loss rate at their own ground, which makes them a tough opponent for visiting sides. Navad Urmia have poor away results—50% losses, only 13% wins, and just 0.5 goals scored per away match on average. The hosts hold the edge in expected goals (xG 1.29 vs 1.0) and post better efficiency in possession (54% vs 47%). The last five-match form also favours Saipa (1.6 points per game vs 1.0). Navad Urmia fail to score in 50% of away matches, which could be decisive against the hosts’ solid defence. Taking all stats into account, Saipa have a clear advantage, although their tendency to draw at home (57%) cannot be ignored.
Saipa vs Navad Urmia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Saipa played against Navad Urmia in Azadegan League (Iran). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Saipa has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Navad Urmia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Saipa scores 0.81 goals per game and allows 0.44. Navad Urmia scores 0.75 and allows 0.69. Games in this league average 1.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 19% of Saipa's games and 44% of Navad Urmia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 13%, compared with league averages of 32% for BTTS and 21% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Saipa has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.00 per game. Saipa takes 6.7 shots per game, while Navad Urmia takes 1.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Saipa leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Navad Urmia leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Saipa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Navad Urmia, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Azadegan League games average 1.49 goals. Both teams score in 32% of games, and 21% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Saipa are showing solid home form with 71% clean sheets and only a 14% loss rate at their own ground, which makes them a tough opponent for visiting sides. Navad Urmia have poor away results—50% losses, only 13% wins, and just 0.5 goals scored per away match on average. The hosts hold the edge in expected goals (xG 1.29 vs 1.0) and post better efficiency in possession (54% vs 47%). The last five-match form also favors Saipa (1.6 points per game vs 1.0). Navad Urmia fail to score in 50% of away matches, which could be decisive against the hosts’ solid defense. Taking all stats into account, Saipa have a clear advantage, although their tendency to draw at home (57%) cannot be ignored.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Saipa | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 10% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.53 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 3.95 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Saipa is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Saipa · 1 pts / game - Navad Urmia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Saipa is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
0.81 goals / game - Saipa · 0.75 goals / game - Navad Urmia
Saipa is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.44 goals / game - Saipa · 0.69 goals / game - Navad Urmia
Saipa scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while Navad Urmia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 meczów).
Navad Urmia scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Saipa keeps a clean sheet in 75% (12 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Saipa
Over / Under - Navad Urmia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Saipa is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Saipa · 1.13 pts / game - Navad Urmia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Saipa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Navad Urmia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Saipa
Navad Urmia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Saipa | Liga | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.25 | 1.49 | • 1.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 19% | 32% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 25% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Saipa vs Navad Urmia?
The Azadegan League match finished Saipa 1:0 Navad Urmia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Saipa vs Navad Urmia?
Saipa score 0.81 goals per game on average and Navad Urmia 0.75. The Azadegan League average is 1.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 19% of Saipa's matches and 44% of Navad Urmia's.
What form are Saipa and Navad Urmia in?
Over the last 5 games Saipa have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Navad Urmia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Saipa vs Navad Urmia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Saipa vs Navad Urmia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.